15:45 Bath
Boeing Defence UK Conditions Stakes (3) 3yo+
Boeing Defence UK Conditions Stakes (3) 3yo+
Going:
Good To Soft
Good To Soft
Distance: 1m 5y Runners: 5
Flat Turf
Good To Soft 1m 5y
Here Comes When is the one to beat if he's at this best, and there have been excuses for below-par runs the last twice. However, those performances are still a slight concern in terms of recommending him today, while further is preferable for Master Carpenter. Therefore a chance is taken on BEACH BAR. He comes out worst at the weights but an easy lead for this front-runner could more than compensate. Emell is capable of running a big race.[Ben Hutton]
RP Ratings Master Carpenter
POSTDATA Emell
SPOTLIGHT Beach Bar
TOPSPEED Celestial Path
No Runner Rating Previous Odds Odds Each Way 1/4 1-2
4 (4)
Here Comes WhenD
G Lee/A Balding
Age: 6
Weight: 9-2
Spotlight Form: 6-37365
123
5/4
SP
Slow ground preferable but has run some big races on good going; hasn't fired the last twice having taken a keen hold, but was caught wide at Chester and it was his AW debut most recently; third in a Group 3 at Newmarket in June and leading claims if bouncing back to his best.
  • Date
    Race conditions
    Weight
    Analysis
    Jockey
    OR
    TS
    RPR
  • 15/08/16
    Cfd 7St Cl3,9K
    9-4
    5/5 2 1/4l, Buckstay[7/2]9-4 h
    Jim Crowley
    107
    54
    104
  • 09/07/16
    CHS 7Sft Cl1 Lis,23K
    9-2
    6/8 8 1/4l, Birchwood[11/4]8-8 h
    Franny Norton
    108
    50
    92
  • 25/06/16
    NMK 7Hy Cl1 G3,34K
    9-3
    3/8 2 1/2l, Breton Rock[7/1]9-3 h
    Pat Dobbs
    109
    79
    110
  • 28/05/16
    HAY 7Gd Cl1 G3,36K
    9-0
    7/9 6 1/2l, Home Of The Brave[16/1]9-0 h
    Oisin Murphy
    109
    72
    101
  • 23/04/16
    LEI 7GS Cl1 Lis,28K
    9-3
    3/10 2 1/2l, Home Of The Brave[9/1]9-3 h
    Jim Crowley
    111
    92
    111
  • 09/10/15
    NMK 7GS Cl1 G2,85K
    9-3
    6/10 3 1/4l, Cable Bay[15/2]9-3 h
    Jim Crowley
    111
    92
    108
5 (3)
Master CarpenterD
F Tylicki/B Millman
Age: 5
Weight: 9-2
Spotlight Form: 346635
123
5/2
SP
As good a chance as any at the weights on this year's best form, a Group 3 third at Chester (10.3f, good) in May, but hasn't quite hit the same heights subsequently and 1m has seemed on the sharp side the last twice.
  • Date
    Race conditions
    Weight
    Analysis
    Jockey
    OR
    TS
    RPR
  • 11/08/16
    SAL 8GF Cl1 G3,43K
    9-0
    5/7 8l, Zonderland[20/1]8-7
    Frederik Tylicki
    107
    59
    97
  • 24/07/16
    PON 8GF Cl1 Lis,26K
    9-5
    3/7 4l, Convey[6/1]9-5
    Silvestre De Sousa
    108
    64
    107
  • 16/07/16
    NBY 10GF Cl1 Lis,21K
    9-4
    6/7 6 1/2l, Scottish[15/2]9-4
    Frederik Tylicki
    110
    49
    102
  • 04/06/16
    EPS 12GS Cl1 G1,227K
    9-0
    6/8 11 1/2l, Postponed[40/1]9-0
    Frederik Tylicki
    110
    47
    105
  • 21/05/16
    GOO 9Gd Cl1 Lis,28K
    9-0
    4/8 2 3/4l, Decorated Knight[4/1C]9-0
    Frederik Tylicki
    110
    18
    105
  • 05/05/16
    CHS 10Gd Cl1 G3,43K
    9-0
    3/7 1l, Cannock Chase[14/1]9-7
    Frederik Tylicki
    108
    86
    111
3 (1)
Emell
K O'Neill/R Hannon
Age: 6
Weight: 9-2
Spotlight Form: 200024
120
3/1
SP
Good efforts the last twice, second in Ascot handicap (1m, good to firm) before Group 3 fourth at Goodwood (7f, good); could have part to play on those runs; cheekpieces go back on for blinkers; slow ground probably fine.
  • Date
    Race conditions
    Weight
    Analysis
    Jockey
    OR
    TS
    RPR
  • 28/08/16
    GOO 7Gd Cl1 G3,34K
    9-0
    4/6 2l, Opal Tiara[25/1]8-6 bl
    Kieran O'Neill
    99
    80
    108
  • 06/08/16
    ASC 8GF Cl2Hc,22K
    9-10
    2/10 1/2l, Early Morning[12/1]9-10 bl
    Joe Fanning
    98
    87
    103
  • 23/07/16
    ASC 7GF Cl2Hc,93K
    9-2
    18/24 12 1/2l, Librisa Breeze[50/1]9-1 bl
    Pat Dobbs
    101
    47
    79
  • 09/07/16
    NMK 7GF Cl2Hc,75K
    9-2
    10/16 4 1/4l, Golden Steps[20/1]9-0 bl
    Pat Dobbs
    101
    76
    99
  • 15/06/16
    ASC 8Sft Cl2Hc,109K
    9-1
    18/28 7l, Portage[50/1]9-5 bl
    Pat Dobbs
    101
    42
    94
  • 19/05/16
    GOO 7Gd Cl2Hc,16K
    9-7
    2/14 2l, Can't Change It[8/1]8-9 bl
    Sean Levey
    100
    82
    106
1 (5)
Beach BarD
S De Sousa/B Powell
Age: 5
Weight: 9-2
Spotlight Form: 462054
113
7/1
SP
Poor run at Epsom and something to find with all three rivals at these terms, but there's a good chance this front-runner will be allowed an easy lead and Silvestre De Sousa excels in such circumstances; could make bold bid.
  • Date
    Race conditions
    Weight
    Analysis
    Jockey
    OR
    TS
    RPR
  • 29/08/16
    EPS 10Gd Cl3,9K
    9-2
    4/4 14l, Goodwood Zodiac[5/1]8-8 h
    Jim Crowley
    98
    60
    78
  • 06/08/16
    ASC 8GF Cl2Hc,22K
    9-8
    5/10 1 1/2l, Early Morning[10/1]9-10
    Josephine Gordon
    99
    84
    101
  • 02/04/16
    DON 8Sft Cl2Hc,62K
    9-3
    12/22 16 1/2l, Secret Brief[25/1]9-4 h
    Pat Dobbs
    99
    21
    70
  • 03/03/16
    Mey 10Gd Hc,45K
    8-13
    2/14 2 3/4l, Dormello[33/1]9-2 h
    Tadhg O'Shea
    100
    69
    98
  • 18/02/16
    Mey 8Gd Hc,45K
    9-0
    6/16 3 1/4l, Carry On Deryck[25/1]9-1 h
    Tadhg O'Shea
    100
    81
    98
  • 28/01/16
    Mey 8Gd Hc,49K
    8-8
    4/12 1 3/4l, Fanciful Angel[14/1]9-0 h
    Tadhg O'Shea
    100
    77
    98
2 (2)
Celestial PathD
Non-Runner/Sir M Prescott
Age: 4
Weight: 9-2
Spotlight Form: 3-45207
122
SUSP
Draw against him at Goodwood then tough task in Group 3 at York latest; before those he was second off big weight in good York handicap (1m, good) and a case can be made on that form; seems versatile ground-wise; visor adopted last time replaced by previous cheekpieces; tongue-tie added.
  • Date
    Race conditions
    Weight
    Analysis
    Jockey
    OR
    TS
    RPR
  • 20/08/16
    YOR 8Gd Cl1 G3,48K
    9-5
    7/10 11 1/2l, Scottish[12/1]9-5 v(1)
    Luke Morris
    104
    69
    94
  • 29/07/16
    GOO 8GF Cl2Hc,93K
    9-4
    10/19 5l, Franklin D[10/1]9-1 cp
    Luke Morris
    102
    87
    101
  • 09/07/16
    YOR 8Gd Cl2Hc,16K
    9-13
    2/15 1/4l, Home Cummins[12/1]8-12 cp
    Luke Morris
    102
    104
    110
  • 03/06/16
    EPS 8GS Cl1 G3,40K
    9-5
    5/7 8 1/2l, Tullius[10/1]9-5
    Luke Morris
    105
    76
    93
  • 08/05/16
    Col 8Gd Lis,10K
    9-0
    4/7 5 1/2l, Wildpark[7/5]9-0
    Luke Morris
    91
  • 18/11/15
    KEM 8St Cl1 Lis,23K
    9-0
    3/8 2 1/2l, Big Baz[10/1]9-4 cp
    Luke Morris
    110
    46
    105
Unnamed Favourite
SP
Unnamed 2nd Favourite
SP