Djokovich vs Berdych – Djokovich is hot, Berdych horrible
With Rafael Nadal’s shoulder troubles still haunting him, it’s all to pay for in Group A of the ATP World Tour finals and Novak Djokovic and Tomas Berdych will fight it out for supremacy in Monday’s opening tie.
Despite winning two of the three ties between the two this year, Berdych has been in awful form in recent weeks and Djokovic, at 3/10 to beat Berdych, has the backing of the ATP betting odds.
The most recent encounter between the two was won by Djokovic 3-1, but that was just a day after Berdych had beaten the Serb in the Davis Cup doubles by the same scoreline.
But Berdych’s poor form saw him scrape into the end of year finals, his appearance in the 2010 Wimbledon final set him up for a top eight ranking finish, and the Czech is the 8/1 outsider to win Group A.
Over the shorter format, best of three sets instead of five, Djokovic has won both ties 2-0 and the Serb can continue that run on Monday afternoon and is 5/6 to beat Berdych 2-0.
The handicap is set at 3.5 games and Djokovic has a tendency to dominate the sets he wins against Berdych, winning four of the eight sets in winning matches by more than three games.
Djokovic -3.5 games is 5/6 to beat Berdych and that seems the value in the market.
Although if Berdych can spring a surprise and take the first set, which he did when the two last met in the Davis Cup, Djokovic is 5/1 to lose the first set and win the match.
Ladbrokes are also offering the opportunity to bet on the correct score of each set, and Djokovic is a big price at 12/1 to take the first set 6-1.
A £10 stake on Djokovic winning the first set 6-1 would return £130. See the full N Djokovic vs T Berdych betting odds here.