Murray 15/2 to end Nadal’s run in the Monte Carlo Masters semi-final
He may have been a little lucky with the draw in Monte Carlo this week, but Andy Murray has banished his hard court woes as he prepares to face the world’s best on clay later today.
Rafael Nadal is relishing the return to the red stuff and is a massively short 1/20 to beat Murray later today.
Murray, the number three seed, has at times produced some brilliant tennis in Monte Carlo – his ruthless victory over Giles Simon was what we need to see more off – but it’s just hard to fathom anyone beating Nadal on clay.
Patriotical punters will be hugely tempted by the 15/2 for Murray to strike an early blow in Nadal’s clay court season, but considering the Spaniard is already 4/11 to win the French Open, it seems highly unlikely.
The two have met on clay twice before and Nadal dominated won both of those matches in straight sets.
Nadal is 1/6 to win 2-0 again today but it may be worth looking at the handicap betting in which Nadal is 8/11 to win -5.5 games.
One of the four sets these two have played on clay went to a tiebreak but Murray never managed to win more than three games in the other three sets.
Nadal is 4/1 to win the first set 6-2 and should Murray serve first, this looks the likely result, although should Nadal serve first, take the 7/2 for the first set finishing 6-3.
David Ferrer vs Jurgen Melzer
Melzer shocked Monte Carlo yesterday when dumping out Roger Federer in straight sets and he is 13/8 to upset Ferrer today.
Ferrer is the short 4/9 favourite but Melzer beat the Spaniard in last year’s French Open – the last time the two met on clay – and as he is unbeaten in his last two starts against Ferrer, we’re siding with the German.
Melzer looks the pick of the today’s Monte Carlo Masters betting at 7/2 to win 2-1.
A £10 stake on Melzer beating Ferrer 2-1 would return £45. New customers can sign up here to take advantage of a free tennis bet worth up to £30.