West Ham vs Aston Villa – Villa’s awful away record to cost them
West Ham United need a win against Aston Villa on Saturday and considering Villa’s awful away record, Avram Grant will be confident of getting the three points.
It’s a game that could define West Ham’s season with trips to Chelsea and Manchester City following Saturday’s game, but the amount of draws between these two sides in their last 20 meetings makes the draw the best bet.
The two sides have shared the spoils in 11 of their last 20 matches and the draw looks the pick of the betting at 23/10.
The last ten games between the two at Upton Park have resulted in two wins for West Ham, one win for Villa and seven draws.
West Ham are the favourites at 13/10 to win with Villa available at 21/10 but while the draw offers all the value in the match betting, West Ham offer plenty of value at 7/2 to come from behind and win or draw considering Villa have dropped the most points from winning positions this season.
Four of the seven draws at Upton Park have finished 1-1 and while this fixture sometimes throws up high-scoring games, a 1-1 draw is the favoured result at 11/2.
However just two of West Ham’s last 15 games have produced under 2.5 goals and just two of Villa’s last 12 have produced under 2.5 goals suggesting the 2-2 draw is the better option at 14/1.
Darren Bent has scored four goals in his last four away games and is 9/2 to get the first goal, and with Villa expected to throw away the lead, Bent looks a good bet.
Over 2.5 goals is available at 4/6 but punters would be better off taking the 10/11 for the second half to produce more goals than the first half.
A £10 stake on Bent scoring first and the game finishing 2-2 would return £500. New customers can sign up here to take advantage of a free football bet worth up to £30.