Pick of the Pundits – Dark Promise provides conundrum for punters
The support for Dark Promise in today’s Racing Post naps competition with almost a third of the 50 writers involved napping Roger Varian’s four-year-old today.
16 racing writers from Gary Nutting in the Sunday Mirror to Whistler of the Sunday Telegraph are napping the progressive filly today, suggesting there’s more to this horse than her form.
However while the writers are in agreement, only two of the 16 tipsters can boast a profit in this season’s competition and the fact the likes of Phil Rostron of the Carlisle News and Star and Lee Sobot of the Yorkshire Evening Post should worry punters.
Rostron has failed to nap a winner in his last 14 attempts and Sobot is without a winner in the last seven day and only three of the 16 tipsters can boast a monthly profit over the opening five days of the month.
16:00 Pontefract: Dark Promise –6/4
Based on her popularity you have to believe Dark Promise has a great chance today but this is a very competitive race and there are a number of horses who can upset the favourite.
Having won three handicaps on the bounce there is every reason to believe Dark Promise can hold her own in listed company and her trainer has a 27 per cent strike-rate this season although Varian doesn’t send many runners to Pontefract.
Off Chance and Snow Dancer are the only two males in the field and of the two, Off Chance has a real chance with all of his last five starts coming in Class 1 listed company, including a win at Pontefract in the first of those five starts.
Like Dark Promise, Law Of The Range is a progressive filly also making the step-up to listed company but two wins from two Class 2 handicaps in her last two starts, including landing a £29k prize at Ascot, is stronger from than Dark Promise.
Folly Bridge was disappointing on her first appearance of the season at Newmarket in listed company but returned to winning ways last time out and on the basis of her Newmarket form last year, she has to be respected.
Verdict: Law Of The Range is easily the most tempting bet at the prices