England vs Argentina: England beware ready to pounce Pumas
Argentina may not be the same force that they were in 2007 when upsetting France twice in the World Cup but the Pumas are capable of springing a suprise against England.
Five of the team that started the 2007 Rugby World Cup semi-final are in the Argentina line-up for Saturday morning’s match with England, and that experience could come in very handy.
England have a very attack-minded side ready to face Argentina, but games between these two are historically close and Jonny Wilkinson is likely to play a pivotal role in this match.
England may be the 1/8 favourites but this match could be a lot closer than the odds suggests and Argentina will have more than a few fans at their 11/2 price.
The last time these two teams met was back in 2009 but they faced each other on three occasions throughout the year.
On all three occasions the victory went the way of the home team and the neutral ground at Dunedin could have a big effect on the game.
Only once have the two sides met on neutral ground and that was in the 1995 World Cup when they met in Durban and Argentina, who were a long way from the rugby force they can be considered today, lost by just six points.
The winning margins in the three games since the last World Cup in 2007 have been +22 in favour of England, +2 in favour of Argentina and +7 in favour of England.
The main handicap line sees Argentina given a +14 point start and at 1/1 to win, they look the better bet.
Expect plenty of ball to be kicked on Saturday morning and so a low scoring game can be expected and the 2/1 for between 35 and 45 total points in the match looks the best bet.
England have only managed to score 27 points or more in three of their 15 ties with Argentina and so the 9/2 for the winning margin to be between 11-15 points should be fancied.
England: Ben Foden, Chris Ashton, Manu Tuilagi, Mike Tindall (captain), Delon Armitage, Jonny Wilkinson, Richard Wigglesworth, Andrew Sheridan, Steve Thompson, Dan Cole, Louis Deacon, Courtney Lawes, Tom Croft, James Haskell, Nick Easter.
Replacements: Dylan Hartley, Matt Stevens, Tom Palmer, Tom Wood, Ben Youngs, Toby Flood, Matt Banahan.
Argentina: Martin Rodriguez, Gonzalo Camacho, Gonzalo Tiesi, Santiago Fernandez, Horacio Agulla, Felipe Contepomi (captain), Nicolas Vergallo, Rodrigo Roncero, Mario Ledesma, Juan Figallo, Manuel Carizza, Patricio Albacete, Julio Farias Cabello, Juan Manuel Leguizamon, Juan Fernandez Lobbe.
Replacements: Agustin Creevy, Martin Scelzo, Mariano Galarza, Alejandro Campos, Alfredo Lalanne, Marcelo Bosch, Juan Jose Imhoff.