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Newcastle v Swansea: Few goals looks safer than picking a winner

| 16.11.2012

Newcastle are hard to trust at home at present with a pair of defeats in their last three Premier League games at St James’ Park and so it may be safer to expect a low-scoring clash with Swansea, rather than trying to find a winner.

In fact, Alan Pardew’s men have won just one of their last six in the top flight, with relegation contenders Reading and Sunderland taking points off them.

This is a game that Newcastle should win, but the quote of 5/6 looks slightly short based on their recent spate of form.

Backing Swansea is also a dangerous game, as they have taken just a single point from their last four away days since thumping QPR 5-0 on the opening day.

However, a loss at Manchester City is their only defeat in five fixtures, which may make 5/2 a tempting proposition for the draw.

Alternatively, punters may want to stick to the goals markets and with 5/6 the price for both over and under 2.5 goals, definite preference is for the latter.

This encounter finished goalless last season and Swansea failed to score in both Premier League meetings with Newcastle.

Meanwhile, Newcastle have failed to trouble the scorers in two of their last three home games and they may be without striker Papiss Cisse here because of paperwork problems relating to Senegal’s midweek friendly with Niger, which he missed with a back complaint.

Swansea are also not in free-scoring form themselves, with their equaliser at Southampton last time snapping a run of three away showdowns without a goal.

In terms of uncovering a correct score, 0-0 for the second straight season has some appeal at 8/1, but Swansea have not kept a clean sheet for nine Premier League games and so Newcastle sneaking a 1-0 is more than plausible at 6/1.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



Craig Kemp

Craig has written for Ladbrokes since the 2010 World Cup, having previously gained a Media & Sports Journalism degree and contributed to publications including the Racing Post. His main areas of interest are horse racing and UFC, but he is also an avid X Factor gambler and likes nothing more than indulging in a spot of Hip Hop Karaoke.