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King of Stats: Big numbers ahead of Capital One Cup semis

| 09.01.2013

The Capital One Cup semi-final first-legs get underway this week as Chelsea, Swansea, Aston Villa and Bradford find themselves just two games from a Wembley appearance and the chance to win the season’s first piece of silverware. In light of this, we’ve compiled a King of Stats package to determine where the money will be won or lost in the first-legs.

102 – The number of years since Bradford last made a major cup final – the 1911 version of the FA Cup. Incidentally, they are also making their first ever appearance at this stage of this competition. They’re long-odds of 7/2 to mark the occasion with a first leg win.

2 – Bradford will become the second League Two team in six years to play in the semi final of the Capital One Cup following Wycombe in 2007. They were beaten 5-1 over two legs on that occasion, despite earning a 1-1 draw at Adams Park. For the Bantams to secure a 1-1 draw in their home leg, a price of 13/2 is available.

11 – However, their semi final opponents Aston Villa have won 11 games on the spin against League Two adversaries. This is to be expected given their Premier League status but, more impressively, they have only conceded six goals in this period and kept seven clean sheets. Back a rare clean sheet for the goal-leaking Villans this time around at 13/8.

3 – The Bantams’ memories of Villa are not fond ones having lost three of the four clashes with the west Midlands club during their two-year stint in the top-flight. They could only score one goal in this spell and were beaten without finding the net on three occasions; a price of 9/4 says that this first leg clash will end in another loss to nil for the west Yorkshire club.

3 – If the League Two outfit are to upset the odds and make a Wembley appearance here, they will need to get a result at Valley Parade. Home fans will be boosted by the fact that they have only seen their team lose three games this season, with even a footballing powerhouse of Arsenal’s magnitude failing to beat them on their own patch. The Villa no bet market has the draw marked up at 8/13, while 11/4 is on offer for the same outcome in the match betting stakes.

16 – In Chelsea’s three Capital One Cup games so far this season they have notched an incredible 16 goals. This makes the 11/8 available for them to score over 2.5 goals a very appetising prospect, while the meaty 3/1 for more than 3.5 Chelsea goals to be scored also warrants some consideration.

3 – In each of Swansea’s three matches with Chelsea since their acquiring Premier League status, both teams have found the back of the net. The Welsh side are yet to taste victory over this opposition but know their way past Petr Cech and, for this reason, the 5/6 on offer for both teams to notch at Stamford Bridge is well worth a punt.

All odds and markets accurate as of publication’s time and date



James Middleton