Chelsea v Brentford: Goal in final 15 minutes looks nailed on
If one thing has been consistent in Chelsea games of late, it has been a vast number of goals in the final 10 minutes of fixtures and there is no reason to anticipate this run ending in their FA Cup fourth round replay with Brentford.
Chelsea may not be much of a price at 1/6 to see off Brentford at the second time of asking, but the returns of John Terry, David Luiz, Demba Ba and African Cup of Nations-winning duo John Obi Mikel and Victor Moses makes them virtually impossible to oppose.
However, it will take a long time to get rich off backing 1/6 favourites and so punters may prefer the 4/6 that either goal is breached at Stamford Bridge between the 75th minute and the final whistle.
Seven goals have been scored in this 15-minute period in Chelsea’s last five games, starting with Fernando Torres’ equaliser in the initial FA Cup meeting with Brentford.
Meanwhile, all of Brentford’s three games since the draw at Griffin Park have also had a goal scored in the final 15 minutes, a run which in total stretches to five games.
Another factor which may boost the likelihood of this bet landing is that one team may be chasing the game late on, which should see play become more stretched.
Brentford manager Uwe Rosler believes his team have wasted their best chance of denying Chelsea a spot in the fifth round for just the second time in 15 years, as the Premier League side will not underestimate the opposition this time.
Punters disagreeing with the viewpoint can get 14/1 for a Brentford victory in 90 minutes or 8/1 that they dump out the side that has won the FA Cup in four of the last six seasons.
If Brentford are to provide one of the biggest FA Cup shocks in recent memory, there is a strong possibility that Marcello Trotta will have a major role to play.
Trotta scored against Chelsea in the first meeting and has three in his last four in all competitions.
The Fulham loanee is 6/1 to score at any time in the 90 minutes at Stamford Bridge.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.