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Aston Villa vs Liverpool: All trends point to away victory

| 30.03.2013

Aston Villa host Liverpool in the hope of bolstering their survival credentials with victory at 7/2.

But of severe detriment to their chances is the fact that they have failed to complete a league double over the Reds in well over half a century.

Thus, Brendan Rodgers’ side, who were beaten 3-1 in the reverse fixture at Anfield earlier this season, appear better options at 3/4 in match betting markets.

The visitors have won at least one league meeting opposite the Villains for each of the past 12 seasons too, which should be enough to deter punters from taking the 11/4 odds regarding a draw.

Rather than simply backing an away success though, increased value can be found from punting on Rodgers’ men winning a game in which they fail to concede at 21/10.

Such a bet would have paid dividends in Liverpool’s past four wins against Villa, and in six of their last seven seasonal Premier League successes.

Another factor signifying this bet’s potential is the Villains’ dismal goalscoring record on their own turf meanwhile, as only bottom club QPR have found the net less times at home this term.

However, the fact that Villa perhaps shouldn’t be counted on to produce goals does not necessarily mean a low-scoring affair is in prospect.

Liverpool’s past five games in all competitions have reaped a grand total of 22 strikes, with the net bulging at least four times in each of these matches.

With that in mind, the 6/4 odds that the Reds win a game involving in excess of 2.5 goals will be snapped up by many a punter.

And an obvious first scorer candidate is also certain to prove popular, amid Premier League leading scorer Luis Suarez’ seven goals in his past five matches across all competitions.

The Uruguayan hotshot is a 4/1 chance to break the deadlock, whilst each-way value can potentially be found in Philippe Coutinho’s 9/1 price in this market.

January arrival Coutinho has two goals in his past four Reds appearances since joining from Inter Milan.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



John Klee