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Inter v Tottenham: Narrow win not enough to see Italians through

| 14.03.2013

Inter Milan head into the second leg of their Europa League round of 16 clash against Tottenham with a mountain to climb in order to qualify, on the wrong end of a 3-0 aggregate scoreline.

The Italian hosts are a tempting 11/8 to triumph at the San Siro in 90 minutes though, with that price appearing worthy of attention in the absence of Spurs star Gareth Bale.

Although quarter-final qualification would look beyond the home side, hence their lengthy 11/1 price to achieve it, they may be able to capitalise on the suspension of a player who has become so integral to their visitors.

Indeed, Bale notched a hat-trick the last time he performed at the San Siro, in a game Inter still went on to prevail 4-3 in.

And he was the main man again as Spurs made light work of the Italians at White Hart Lane, opening the scoring and causing problems aplenty in a free role.

Thus, without him, Tottenham’s chances of succeeding in normal time look much thinner, so they should be approached with caution at 9/5.

A stalemate is all the visitors need to ensure qualification meanwhile, and punters can have 12/5 regarding that outcome.

But perhaps the best bet is on a narrow home success, given that the hosts have yet to lose a European game at the San Siro this season.

They haven’t won by more than two goals on their own patch in the Europa League though, and so an Inter win featuring under 2.5 strikes looks worth backing at 17/4.

It should also be noted that Andrea Stramaccioni’s men haven’t conceded whenever they have won on their own turf in Europe this term.

Without the threat of the aforementioned Bale to contend with, Inter’s 21/10 clean sheet prospects are bolstered considerably, while they are 16/5 to victor without being breached.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



John Klee