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Man City v Newcastle: Champions to prevail by two-goal margin

| 29.03.2013

Manchester City host Newcastle in a match seemingly bereft of significant importance, with City’s title charge all but over, and the Magpies appearing safe from relegation.

Little value can be found in match betting markets as such, as the hosts, beaten just once at home all season, are 2/7 to gain a seventh consecutive victory over this opposition.

That record means the draw fails to make appeal at 9/2 also, whilst the Toon’s possession of a solitary away triumph this season means they are difficult to back at 9/1.

However, at tempting 3/1 odds, City make much appeal to overcome their visitors by a two-goal margin.

A bet on this outcome would have rewarded punters in the past four meetings of the pair, when 3-1 has been the most regularly recurring scoreline.

Indeed, this result has emerged three times in those four matches, all in the Citizens’ favour, so Roberto Mancini’s men could prove a shrewd 10/1 punt to succeed 3-1 again.

It may also interest punters that both teams have scored in six of the past seven encounters between the two, which indicates that investment in goal markets may prove wise.

1/1 is the price that both defences are breached again, with 2/1 available about a home win in which either team finds the net.

Also true of six of those last seven bouts is that in excess of three goals emanated from the clashes.

City can be backed at 4/5 to win a match featuring at least 2.5 strikes in this outing, as they already have done on 10 occasions so far this term.

Carlos Tevez has been a frequent source of goals for the hosts in recent weeks meanwhile, notching five times in his past five matches in all competitions.

The Argentinian forward is 7/2 to break the deadlock, a slightly better value option than likely strike partner Sergio Aguero, who is 10/3 to open the scoring.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



John Klee