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Significant Wales returns will not prevent Six Nations defeat

| 15.03.2013

Wales go into their Six Nations title decider with England as 6/5 underdogs, despite having home advantage as well as a spate of returning stars.

And this is understandable, even in light of the visitors’ shoddy performance when besting Italy 18-11 last time out.

Victory for England by any means at 8/11 will see them clinch the Grand Slam, whilst they could even afford to lose by up to five points in order to rob the Six Nations crown from defending champions Wales.

But even with Gethin Jenkins set to return to lead the hosts, and Justin Tipuric’s restoration to the starting line-up, it is difficult to envisage them inflicting a maiden seasonal tournament loss on the Three Lions.

And winning margin markets have the scope to significantly reward patriotic punters in this match.

At 5/4, the possibility of England winning by 1-12 points looks well overpriced, and certainly worthy of serious attention.

A bet on this outcome would have paid dividends in three of England’s four Six Nations matches to date this season, with a 20-point success over Scotland the only exception.

Stuart Lancaster is bound to demand more from his troops as they bid to make history, and it is tough to see the travellers coming away from the Millennium Stadium with anything but maximum points.

Further lending weight to this claim is the fact that Wales have yet to succeed in a Test outing on their own patch this term, and have instead been more impressive on their travels.

And with England most recently struggling at Twickenham, they could relish the opportunity to land a first Grand Slam in a decade away from home.

England were triumphant by a seven-point margin the last time they travelled to Wales for a Six Nations clash, and a similar result can be expected here to land 5/4 returns in winning market margins.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



John Klee