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Burnley v Cardiff: Visitors can all but clinch title in low-score affair

| 19.04.2013

With promotion already sewn up, justification of Cardiff’s 6/4 price to beat Burnley in a televised Turf Moor clash will see them crowned champions of the English second tier.

And it is not just their recent record opposing the Clarets that signifies they have chances of doing so, in light of the pairing’s contrasting league positions, and form of late.

The hosts, also 6/4 for victory, have failed to triumph in any of the past 10 renewals of acquaintances between these sides, and haven’t scored the last three times they squared off.

Burnley have also won just two of their past 15 games, registering on 16 occasions across those fixtures, whilst their visitors have racked up six victories in the same period, also finding the net 16 times.

But draws have most regularly emanated from those combined 30 matches, with each side playing out six stalemates apiece since January.

Thus, it seems highly plausible that this game ends level, a 12/5 chance in match betting markets, and an outcome that has prevailed from four of the six most recent encounters between this pair.

Such a result would also see Cardiff all but secure the Championship title, given their vastly superior goal difference in comparison with second-place Hull.

And for added value, betting on a stalemate involving few goals may prove prudent.

Of those past four draws, one ended goalless, with 1-1 the scoreline emanating from the other three fixtures, and 6/1 is the price that two goals are shared between the sides again.

8/1 is available regarding Malky Mackay’s men gaining a sixth 0-0 draw of the season, whilst more cautious punters can cover both outcomes via investment in total result markets.

29/10 is the price that a stalemate involving less than 2.5 goals ensues, and punters placing such a bet on every Burnley and Cardiff game this season would have been rewarded 16 times.

Another trend to be considered meanwhile, is the amount of times these teams have headed into the break on level terms this season, with the Clarets drawing 21 matches at the half-time whistle, and nothing between the Bluebirds and their opponents on 16 occasions after 45 minutes.

Parity existed between the sides at half-time in three of the past six draws they played out against each other too, so 9/2 looks a fair price regarding a repeat of that outcome here.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



John Klee