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QPR to benefit from Derby’s seventh choke of the season

| 08.02.2014

After Liverpool v Arsenal and Tottenham v Everton, the Championship hosts their own version of a top-half season-shaper as Harry Redknapp’s QPR travel to face Steve McClaren and Derby.

Both clubs currently sit outside the two automatic promotion places, with Leicester and Burnley laying claim to them, but a win would leapfrog the London side into second spot, while a Derby victory would reduce their arrears to just one point.

It’s Derby’s home advantage that hands them favouritism, at 6/5 to win, with the visiting Hoops priced at 9/4 to claim three points. An inseparable draw is rated as a 23/10 chance.

Away from the match-betting market, the temptation is to look at goals, with Derby the division’s top scorers and only failing to score in a game once in the last 20.

Similarly, QPR are prone to finding the net, having done so in a far less impressive five consecutive matches but netting two or more goals in all of those games.

That all comes together to make the 21/20 on over 2.5 goals being scored a tasty betting broth, but it’s still not the best offering on the menu.
Derby have an unhealthy obsession with folding like dough in the big games, as evidenced by defeats in every single game against a playoff-placed side or better this season.

QPR, on the other hand, have taken a win and two draws from their six games against the same opposition and, with an unbeaten run of six matches also aiding their cause, it will serve well to take the 19/4 on Redknapp picking up a win in a game of over 2.5 goals.

Or if you’re reluctant to take the plunge on the game being free-scoring, the 11/2 on QPR coming out on top with both teams finding the net also appeals.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Matt Wiggins

No idyllic sound comes close to leather on willow for Matt, whose previous experience includes stints with Spin Magazine and Surrey County Cricket Club. It's not just cricket that interests him though, with football, golf, tennis and any American sport not played on ice all high on his list of favourites.