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Brazil vs Germany: David Luiz could make the difference here

| 08.07.2014

With Thiago Silva suspended and Neymar nursing a World Cup-ending injury, the onus will be on David Luiz to lead by example against Germany.

The ex-Chelsea defender has been one of Brazil’s star performers and should he put in a similar showing to the one that helped the Selecao see off Colombia then the 9/5 on a Brazil win in 90 minutes or the 10/11 on the hosts reaching the final could be good value.

But fail to perform and a ruthless Germany team could put the South Americans to the sword in the way they have Portugal and France, making the 9/5 on a win for Die Mannschaft with 10/11 available on qualification too good to resist.

And for those seeking even more value from this mouth-watering contest, here are the three bets to back.

One goal to be scored in the first half @ 33/20

The old saying ‘the early bird catches the worm’ certainly rang true in the quarter-finals with three of the four games featuring a single goal in the opening half, while the only exception was Holland vs Costa Rica – a game in which the Central Americans led a charmed existence.

With Brazil and Germany both playing out tight opening halves against Colombia and France respectively in which the two teams led through early goals it would not be a surprise to see one of the two repeat the feat here and this market should allow you to hedge your bets on both.

David Luiz to score anytime @ 6/1

The key man for Brazil at both ends of the pitch, Luiz is the pick of the anytime goalscorers just ahead of Germany’s Mats Hummels thanks to his sensational ability from deadball situations – as demonstrated to perfection against Colombia.

Dangerous from corners and in the midst of an outstanding World Cup with two goals to his name, the former Benfica star is a player who raises his game for the big occasion, as Chelsea fans will recall from their Champions League success of 2012.

One goal in total during the match @ 14/5

While the group stages saw teams attack with abandon and goals galore scored, it’s been a different story in the knockouts, with few games going over the familiar 2.5 goals line that has become such a prominent feature of football betting.

Few semi-finals go over the 2.5 mark either and with Germany racking up two 1-0 wins on their way here, those favouring a Die Mannschaft victory would do well to back this.

It’s a market that also has you covered if Brazil win narrowly, with a team missing several stars unlikely to do anything other than edge out Germany by a single goal if they do have enough to keep them at bay.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Jack Beresford

Jack Beresford is a content writer with over five years of experience in writing about sport and betting, including a two-year spell with Axonn Media. Contributes articles to HereIsTheCity and Lad Bible, while previous credits include Bwin, FTB Pro, Bleacher Report and the QBE rugby. Avid follower of tennis, rugby union, motorsport and football, Jack also writes about poker for Cardspiel.com alongside Guardian journalist Dominic Wells.