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A day to go and the Scottish Referendum is on a knife-edge

| 17.09.2014

As Thursday’s momentous independence referendum draws ever nearer, polls have been describing Scotland’s future as ‘a coin toss’ and ‘being too close to call’.

If these think tanks are right, Ladbrokes could have some outstanding value in their Referendum Specials markets.

The bookmakers go 8/1 that the winning margin of the voting is less than one per cent, something that could well be on the cards.

Continued support in the ‘Yes’ campaign, according to the surveys, has on average the ‘Better Together’ campaign holding onto a slim 52-48 advantage.

But with an estimated 10 per cent of voters yet to decide, Alex Salmond and co. have the opportunity to not only close the gap, but take the initiative.

Market researchers Survation tried to push for an answer from the undecided asking for their response “if the referendum was today and you had to make a choice”.

They still only received a definitive answer from 49 per cent of those, but the ‘Yes’ vote outnumbered the ‘No’ vote by 27-22.

If the media is to believed this could go right down to the wire.

Should Salmond step down if his campaign fails?

Scotland’s first minister has repeatedly stated he will not resign if his SNP party suffer defeat in the coming days.

But much of his term in the role has seen him dedicate his time to the cause of an independent Scotland, and his credibility will surely come under scrutiny should the country remain within the union.

It’s 5/1 with Ladbrokes that he ends his time in charge of matters in Edinburgh within 48 hours of the result being announced this week.

Polling website What Scotland Thinks have indicated that 43 per cent of their sample believe the 59-year-old should step down if the country votes no.

Could we see a record turnout?

When Ladbrokes first offered odds on over 85 per cent of the adult population of Scotland voting in the referendum back in April, the price available was 16/1. Such has been the drive for citizens to vote, that the price now stands at 9/4.

But for those who feel there are even more out there that will be casting their choice on Thursday, Ladbrokes’ big price of 8/1 that the turnout hits the 90 per cent mark could tempt.

With less than 24 hours left to register there could be one last push as the people of Scotland rush to have their say on the countries future.

All odds and markets correct as of the date of publishing

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Ben Stones

Ladbrokes News’ equine expert, Ben likes nothing more than studying the form to pick out a winner or two for our readers. A Journalism and Media Studies graduate from the University of Winchester, Ben has previously written for a number of football and racing blogs and websites, as well as contributing to the sports pages of his home-town newspaper.