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Glasgow may hold the key in final furlong of Scottish Referendum

| 16.09.2014

With just two days before Scotland goes to the polls, both the ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ campaigns are winding up their lobbying as they look to drive the future of things ‘north of the border’.

The campaign for an independent Scotland touched new highs in the last couple of weeks, with ‘Yes’ odds tumbling to a shortest price of 15/8.

Things have returned to more like what we are used to in the last few days with a ‘No’ vote overwhelming favourite at 1/4, and ‘Yes’ out at 3/1.

Recent polls, depending on who you believe, have things much closer, with results ranging from an eight point advantage in either direction.

But while an overall majority is what it will take, some cities and areas will be tackled with more importance than others, with a number of sleeping voters being clearly targeted.

SNP leader Alex Salmond has dubbed Dundee the ‘City of Yes’, with, he claims, two thirds of the city planning to follow his lead.

Bookmakers Ladbrokes have Dundee priced up at a stand out top-price 4/6 to be the area with the highest percentage of pro-independence votes.

Their campaign in the region did take a minor hit last week when SNP aide Matthew Landsburgh was forced to resign after making offensive comments about Gordon Brown on Twitter.

Naturally, that won’t be the deciding factor in voter’s minds, but it does certainly put paid to the old adage that ‘any publicity is good publicity’.

Instead, some value could lie in this market with Glasgow at 8/1.

Scotland’s largest city makes up more than 10 per cent of the voting population, and advantage along the banks of the River Clyde, would stand either campaign in very good stead.

The backlash to the ‘No’ campaign was certainly felt on Monday night, when Chief Secretary to the Treasury Danny Alexander, and Respect party leader George Galloway were repeatedly heckled by boisterous anti-union voters.

And with thousands gathering in the main streets of the city to proclaim the ‘Yes’ message, SNP Deputy Leader, Nicola Sturgeon, claimed “The Gorbals might just be the strongest Yes supporting part of the country.”

There may just be two days to go until voting commences, but there is much more campaigning to be done across Scotland in this momentous week.

You can check out Ladbrokes own Politics blog, straight from the Trading floor, with more on the developments over the course of the campaign.

All odds and markets correct as of the date of publishing

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Ben Stones

Ladbrokes News’ equine expert, Ben likes nothing more than studying the form to pick out a winner or two for our readers. A Journalism and Media Studies graduate from the University of Winchester, Ben has previously written for a number of football and racing blogs and websites, as well as contributing to the sports pages of his home-town newspaper.