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3 lessons learned ahead of Aston Villa v West Brom Part II

| 06.03.2015

A twist of fixture-list fate has thrown up Aston Villa v West Brom at Villa Park for the second time in five days, following the former’s first Premier League win under new boss Tim Sherwood against Tony Pulis’ Baggies by two goals to one.

With the form fresher than warm rolls going into this match, we’ve picked out the best bets available after drilling down into Tuesday’s data:

Aston Villa to be leading at half time and not win @ 9/1

This eventually came so close to fruition in midweek, only for Ben Foster to lose his head completely in the last minute and gift the hosts a match-winning penalty.

Villa have got off the mark first in each of their three home games under Sherwood, twice in the first half, and three of the four goals they’ve let in when hosting have come after the break, with the other grabbed just as the queue for pies began to form in a 2-1 loss against Stoke.

Simply put, there are many worse 9/1 bets out there.

2-3 total goals @ 19/20

The aforementioned trio of Villa Park fixtures with the former Spurs boss on the sideline have all seen exactly three goals scored, which is surely the reason for the same again being a shade odds on.

In fact, seven of Villa’s last nine all-competition fixtures have seen either two or three strikes find the back of the net, so this ranks as a confident tip.

Christian Benteke to score at any time @ 2/1

Benteke has had a tough time of it this year, scoring just four Villa goals in 23 appearances, but with three of them coming at home, including the winning penalty against the Baggies, it’s no surprise to see him favourite to get among them again.

The streaky striker’s 11 goals for his club last term came in five-game (5), three-game (3) and three-game (3) bursts, and 10 of his last 12 were in front of his own fans.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Alex Fortune