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Tottenham v Newcastle: The case for over 2.5 goals is concrete

| 12.12.2015

All the stats ahead of Newcastle’s trip to north London to face Mauricio Pochettino’s in-form Tottenham side suggest the Lilywhites are in for a routine three points.

Spurs are the Premier League’s second-best home team, are on a club-record run of games without defeat and have won half of their last 10 meetings with the Magpies.

Steve McClaren’s men, meanwhile, are the worst travellers in the top-flight, have conceded the joint-most goals in the division and can speak of just three goals from their away assignments thus far.

Yet, the conundrum that is the north-east’s strugglers managed to halt Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool juggernaut last time out, whacked Norwich 6-2 in October and drew with Chelsea back in September.

If anything can be expected from games involving Newcastle, it’s the unexpected.

Ladbrokes certainly expect Tottenham to prevail, making them 4/11 favourites for the encounter, with McClaren’s visitors distant 7/1 chances and the draw available at 4/1.

However, a run of four consecutive wins for the team playing away in this matchup means it may be worth having a small investment on the visitors.

A market that can be dabbled in with far greater certainty is the total goals department, which makes over 2.5 strikes in the game a 4/7 chance and the unders a 5/4 shot.

This meeting has invariably delivered on the goals front, with all of the last three battles containing three or strikes and seven of the last eight also obliging.

The Geordies’ shocking defensive record on the road also enhances the belief that over 2.5 goals is the way to go, as the black-and-white shirts have shipped two or more in five of their seven sojourns away from St James’ Park.

Only two teams have scored more Premier League goals in their own stadium than Spurs and the club have a 50 percent strike rate for soaring over the 2.5-goal line at home.

Beyond the 4/7 on three or more goals being scored, Ladbrokes have two special offers that could also appeal. Details of the two deals can be found below:

*Double Odds 1st Goalscorer

**Tottenham to win and both teams to score WAS 7/4 NOW 9/4

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.
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Matt Wiggins

No idyllic sound comes close to leather on willow for Matt, whose previous experience includes stints with Spin Magazine and Surrey County Cricket Club. It's not just cricket that interests him though, with football, golf, tennis and any American sport not played on ice all high on his list of favourites.