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Why Swindon Town look the value bet for League Two promotion

| 04.01.2018

Luton Town may prove uncatchable at the top of the League Two table, but below the Hatters, there’s everything to play for.

Just five points separate third-placed Coventry City in the final automatic promotion spot, from Newport County in 11th. But amidst the jostling pack, we think it’s ninth-placed Swindon Town who look the smart bet for success this term.

Here’s why we’re tipping the Robins…

Flitcroft knows how to win promotion

Back in 2014-15, current Swindon boss David Flitcroft led his Bury side to automatic promotion from this division.

Comparing their record to the current Robins side, Bury had three points fewer at this stage. The Shakers also had a smaller squad and – on paper at least – significantly less quality.

But the astute boss led them to an incredible run after the turn of the year, and could be on the cusp of the same feat at the County Ground.

A rock-solid victory over second-placed Notts County on Saturday was followed by an impressive attacking display at Barnet, as the Robins bagged a 2-1 victory.

Tactically versatile and outstanding on the counter-attack, they’ve also got the big-game performer in League Two…

Difference-maker Norris could be crucial

Once again, striker Luke Norris had the crucial say as the Robins squeezed past Notts last weekend. The 24-year-old grabbed the only goal of the game, to make it 10 for the season.

Time and again he’s come up with the goods at a key moment. He produced a brace and assist in the 3-2 win over Stevenage and a 96th-minute equaliser against Chesterfield, to name just a couple of examples.

And that could be vital as Swindon head towards the business end of the season.

With young striker Kaiyne Woolery also beginning to find his feet – netting in two of the last five games – the Robins could be about to really click up top.

They can beat the best…all they need is consistency

One humbling defeat to Luton aside, the Robins have been strong against the league’s top teams.

In fact, September saw the Wiltshire club bag a 3-0 victory at Kenilworth Road. That equalled the Hatters’ heaviest home defeat since 2007.

They’ve also produced well-deserved wins over fellow promotion candidates like Mansfield Town and Wycombe Wanderers. That’s in addition to a 4-2 EFL Trophy win away at League One Bristol Rovers

With Swindon just a single point below the play-off spots, the 6/4 for a Top 7 Finish looks excellent value.

Meanwhile, Flitcroft can be backed to lead his Robins to promotion at 9/2. And the most ambitious of fans can still back the Wiltshire club to win the league title at a massive 100/1.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing



Dave Burin

Dave graduated with an MA in English Literature at Durham University, and worked in marketing before joining the Ladbrokes News team. A Man United fan and avid groundhopper, he’s also an ardent follower of Rugby League. You can usually find him at a ground near you, clutching a big cup of tea.