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Up or down? The final day EFL permutations

| 03.05.2019

So here we go, the final day of the Football League season is almost upon us. Ten long months of high, lows and everything in between bottles down to this moment.

You’ll have jubilation of your team’s promotion, with hopes of bigger things on the horizon. But it’ll be a nail-biting ninety minutes for fans of all clubs still battling relegation.

One thing is for sure, it’s always a day to remember!  So we’ve put our heads together to give you all the permutations ahead of the big day.


Norwich City came out on top to bag Premier League football and they were joined shortly after by Sheffield United. It’s only in which order that is still yet to be decided.

Relegation has been wrapped up before the final day too, Ipswich Town, Bolton Wanderers and Rotherham United have fell through the trap door to League One.

That means it’s all on the play-offs. Leeds United and Brummy boys West Brom and Aston Villa have made it.

Marcelo Bielsa Leeds
Bielsa could create Leeds history with a playoff win

But the last day gives us a three-way shoot-out for sixth-place. Derby County are in possession and are a short 4/9 to secure their spot.

Middlesbrough are a point behind at 11/5 to snare a playoff berth, but the Rams’ draw with Swansea City in midweek has given Bristol City a sniff at 12/1. Although they’d have to beat Hull City away and hope both their rivals lose.

League One

Automatic promotion in the third tier was all confirmed last week as Luton Town return to the Championship after a 12-year absence.

Barnsley are also up after both Portsmouth and Sunderland dropped points in midweek. We go with Luton at 1/4 to seal the title when they host Oxford United.

That means the top six will be filled by Pompey, Sunderland and Charlton Athletic. The one remaining place will go down to the wire between Doncaster Rovers (70 points) and Peterborough United (69 points).

The Posh are 5/2 to grab sixth-place. Their inferior goal-difference means they must beat Burton Albion, while Donny at 2/7 will know three points against Coventry will clinch a play-off adventure.

But it’s the relegation scrap that’s the one to watch in the third tier. Bradford City are gone. They will be playing League Two football next season.

Then there’s a real battle royal to escape the drop, with Scunthorpe United (1/8 to go down), Walsall (1/6), Plymouth Argyle (4/7), Southend United (4/11) and AFC Wimbledon (7/1) all within three points of each other.

Wimbledon will do their job if they get a point at already-relegated Bradford. While all the other candidates realistically must win to have any chance of avoiding the chop.

League Two

Two of the three automatic promotion places have gone to Lincoln City and Bury – which leaves just a single place up for grabs.

The fixture generator has lined up a stonker of a last-day match between Mansfield Town in third and MK Dons in fourth.

It’s only goal difference that separates the two sides, so it’s winner takes all at Stadium MK.

The play-offs will be made up of the loser of MK Dons and Mansfield, along with Forest Green Rovers and Tranmere Rovers.

The final place looks likely to go to Newport County at a short 1/3, but there’s a quartet including Exeter, Colchester, Carlisle and Stevenage all smelling blood if the Welsh side slip up.

Yeovil’s fall to the National League has been confirmed; with Notts County at a skinny 1/12 to play non-league footy next season.

Sol Campbell’s Macclesfield will survive with a point at home to Cambridge United.

View the latest Football League odds.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



Charlie Dear

Charlie has covered sport for the likes of The Guardian, Football365 and FourFourTwo. Arsenal sufferer. German football enthusiast.