Cesar Azpilicueta, Karim Benzema, Real Madrid v Chelsea betting tips
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Real Madrid v Chelsea betting tips: Tough mission for champions

| 12.04.2022

Real Madrid v Chelsea betting tips and odds

Chelsea’s Champions League title defence is hanging by a thread as they head to the Spanish capital looking to overturn a two-goal deficit from the first leg of their quarter-final at Stamford Bridge.

Karim Benzema did the damage with a back-to-back Champions League hat-trick as Real Madrid ran out 3-1 winners and the hosts are 29/20 favourites to get the job done by winning inside 90 minutes against the Blues, who are 11/2 to qualify for the semi-finals and 15/8 to win the game.

It’s all or nothing for Thomas Tuchel’s side on Tuesday so let’s examine some of the main issues, markets and odds in our Real Madrid v Chelsea betting tips.

Real Madrid v Chelsea form

The Blues bounced back from successive heavy home defeats to Brentford and Real Madrid with a 6-0 drubbing of Southampton at St Mary’s where Timo Werner scored twice and hit the woodwork three times.

Domestically, Chelsea have been better away from this season, winning 11 times on the road compared with seven at Stamford Bridge, so they are not without hope, but they are going to have to take risks if they are to pull off what would be a stunning comeback.

The west Londoners have won their last seven away games in all competitions, but none of those teams came anywhere near the quality of Real Madrid who went 12 points clear at the top of LaLiga with a 2-0 victory over Getafe on Saturday.

Los Blancos have won 11 and drawn four of their 16 matches at the Bernabeu this season, their only defeat a 4-0 drubbing by arch rivals Barcelona, so Chelsea have a slight chance, especially with the away goals rule being scrapped this season.

Carlo Ancelotti’s side have scored and conceded in three of their four Champions League home games and there was a winner every time, so both teams to score, over 2.5 goals and either team to win at 6/4 looks a possibility in our Real Madrid v Chelsea betting tips.

Real Madrid beat PSG 3-1 in their last home game in this competition as Benzema bagged a treble to complete a remarkable comeback and they are 10/3 to win and concede or 10/1 to win from behind once again.

Real Madrid v Chelsea head to head

These teams met in the semi-finals of last season’s competition and this fixture ended 1-1, so we go 12/5 on a draw and 3/1 with goals thrown into the equation, while a repeat of that scoreline is 5/1.

Chelsea will need to raise their game significantly if they are to spring a surprise following their chastising defeat in the first leg during which goalkeeper Edouard Mendy handed Benzema his third at the start of the second half with an under-hit pass.

Tuchel said after that game: “We have to find our level back, I don’t know where it is since the international break, but the first half is a repetition of the second half against Brentford, in a quarter-final against Real Madrid. We were so far off our level in everything the game demands.”

Tuchel cut a more positive figure after the win on the south coast, saying: “It was a very good performance offensive-wise but also defensive-wise. It’s not only a possession game against Southampton, it’s about winning the duels, accepting the physicality.

“There was a good mix in all areas of the pitch, in mentality and commitment – it was very, very good.”

Chelsea will have to be on the front foot from the start as they were at St Mary’s and they are 21/20 to score first and 7/4 to do so in the first half.

Real Madrid v Chelsea team news

Tuchel withdrew Kai Havertz at half-time with the job done and Mason Mount and Thiago Silva followed in the second half, so those players should at least be fresher for the clash with the 13-time champions.

The German will need to come up with a better plan than the first leg where Andreas Christensen was given a torrid time by Benzema and Vinicius Junior down Chelsea’s right flank.

Benzema was withdrawn 15 minutes from time on Saturday, suggesting Ancelotti does not regard the tie as over, but he will be without suspended centre-back Eder Militao.

Chelsea striker Romelu Lukaku missed Saturday’s victory with an Achilles problem and is out, but captain Cesar Azpilicueta is back having returned a negative Covid test.

Despite Werner coming in for high praise from Tuchel, Christian Pulisic and Hakim Ziyech are likely starters on Tuesday.

Goalscorer odds

Benzema has been sensational this season and has 37 goals in all competitions – 11 of which have come in the Champions League – and is understandably 11/4 to break the deadlock or 19/20 to score any time, while a third successive treble in this competition is 22/1.

Vinicius Jr is 5/1 and 2/1 in the two options, while Lucas Vazquez, who scored at the weekend, is 11/1 to get in on the act again.

For the Blues, Havertz is 2/1 to score as he did in the first leg and 11/2 to get the opener, while Mount is 7/1 and 13/5.

The England midfielder scored twice at the weekend as did Werner who is 7/2 to find the net in our Real Madrid v Chelsea betting tips.

Pulisic and Ziyech are 15/2 and 8/1 respectively to draw first blood or 14/5 and 3/1 to breach the hosts’ defence, while Silva and Rudiger are 13/2 and 9/1 to score.

Match Info

Where: Bernabeu

When: 20:00, Tuesday 12th April

How to watch: BT Sport

View the latest Champions League odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Warren Barner