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FA Cup final: Liverpool favourites to end run of draws with Chelsea

| 13.05.2022

Chelsea v Liverpool betting tips and odds

Liverpool and Chelsea meet in the FA Cup final this weekend with the Reds still with an outside chance of winning the quadruple.

The Merseysiders beat Chelsea in the Carabao Cup final in an epic penalty shoot-out at the end of February to land their first piece of silverware of the season and the teams meet again at Wembley where Jurgen Klopp’s side are 1/2 to lift the trophy and evens to get the job done in 90 minutes.

The Blues have not been at their best since the club was put up for sale, but let’s see if they can turn things around as we look at the talking points in our Chelsea v Liverpool betting tips, while you can read about some of the stats surrounding the big game by clicking on the link.

Chelsea v Liverpool form

Liverpool’s form has been excellent heading to Wembley, although a 1-1 draw with Tottenham at the weekend severely dented their chances of winning the Premier League title and a potential quadruple for which they are now 22/1 following Manchester City’s 4-1 win at Wolves on Wednesday.

The Reds’ draw at the weekend ended a 12-match winning streak at Anfield in the Premier League and they are unbeaten overall in 2022, a run of 17 games, so Klopp could not ask much more from his players, who hit back from behind to win 2-1 at Aston Villa on Tuesday night thanks to Sadio Mane’s winner.

The Reds reached the final by eliminating Manchester City 3-2 thanks to three first-half goals from Ibrahima Konate and Mane (2) before their opponents fought back with two goals at both ends of the second half.

Liverpool conceded in four of their five FA Cup ties and a win by that method is available at 11/4 or they are 13/5 to win by a one-goal margin as they have in the last three rounds

Alternatively, they have kept a joint-high 21 clean sheets in 35 Premier League games this season, winning to nil in 11 of their last 16 matches, and they are available at 5/2 to win that way.

Liverpool have also conceded the first goal in their last three outings and are 11/8 to fall behind again, but they are 9/1 to come back and win as they did against Villarreal and Aston Villa.

Chelsea beat 10-man Leeds 3-0 on Wednesday night but that was only their second win in six Premier League games, so it’s understandable they are 7/5 to win the FA Cup or 13/5 to do so without the need of extra time.

With Antonio Rudiger and Andreas Christensen reportedly heading for Real Madrid and Barcelona respectively, these are worrying times for Chelsea who are unable to advance any transfer plans or offer new deals to players until the club’s sale to incoming owner Todd Boehly is complete.

The Blues had a much cosier FA Cup run than Saturday’s opponents and did not face a Premier League team until the semi-finals where they beat Crystal Palace 2-0 at Wembley after a dour first half.

Incredibly, Chelsea have never been behind at half-time in the Premier League this season, with 22 of their 35 matches level – the highest in the division – so we go 21/20 on an even opening 45 minutes, with Draw HT/Liverpool FT priced at 15/4.

Liverpool v Chelsea head to head

The teams have met three times this season and the scores were level at the end of 90 minutes on each occasion, so a fourth successive draw has to be considered at 12/5 in our Chelsea v Liverpool betting tips.

Bearing in mind Chelsea’s tendency to be level at the break, Draw HT/Draw FT looks an interesting option at 4/1 which brings us neatly to the possibility of extra time and penalties.

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Thomas Tuchel’s side, appearing in their third successive FA Cup final, are 16/1 to win during the extra 30 minutes, while Liverpool are much shorter at 10/1.

Liverpool, of course, beat Chelsea on penalties after a goalless 120 minutes in the League Cup final and both teams are priced at 11/1 to win that way.

Another goalless final is 10/1, but their two Premier League draws involved goals at both ends which is available at 13/4.

Liverpool v Chelsea team news

Croatia midfielder Mateo Kovacic will pull out all the stops to be fit, having hobbled out the game at Leeds with an ankle ligament problem.

N’Golo Kante is also battling to be fit after a series of niggles, though Callum Hudson-Odoi will miss out through ongoing back trouble.

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Midfielder Fabinho has been ruled out of Liverpool’s final three matches of the domestic season with a hamstring injury.

Captain Jordan Henderson will come in and fill the holding role with Thiago Alcantara also likely to return to the starting line-up after being rested for the midweek win over Aston Villa.

Salah, a substitute at Villa Park, is set to start up front alongside Sadio Mane and Luis Diaz with left-back Andy Robertson expected to return after being given Tuesday off.

Goalscorer odds

Salah has failed to scored in 12 of his last 13 matches but continues to dominate the goalscoring odds.

The Egyptian attacker is almost certain to start and is 7/2 to break the deadlock or 11/8 to get on the scoresheet, but the in-form Mane looks a much better prospect at 5/1 and 2/1 in the two markets.

Luis Diaz and Diogo Jota both started at Villa Park and are likely to be fighting it out for the third attacking spot. Diaz is 6/1 and Jota 9/2 to get the ball rolling, while they can be backed at 12/5 and 15/8 in the anytime market.

Of the outsiders, Joel Matip, who scored the equaliser on Tuesday, is 40/1 and 14/1, the same odds as Konate, who netted the opener against City.

Kai Havertz scored against Liverpool in a 1-1 draw at Anfield earlier in the season and is the 6/1 favourite from the Chelsea contingent to draw first blood or 12/5 to find the net, while Christian Pulisic is 8/1 and 3/1 having bagged the equaliser in that exciting 2-2 draw at Stamford Bridge and scoring in the win at Elland Road.

Romelu Lukaku made it three goals in two games on Wednesday and is 7/1 and 11/4 in our Chelsea v Liverpool betting tips.

Match Info

Where: Wembley

When: 16:45, Saturday 14th May

How to watch: BBC 1/ITV

View the latest football odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication



Warren Barner