James Ward-Prowse, England World Cup squad
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San Marino v England betting tips: World Cup looms for Three Lions

| 12.11.2021

San Marino v England betting tips and odds

England’s first-half masterclass against Albania on Friday night means they just need a point against San Marino to secure their place at next year’s World Cup, although in truth they probably already have enough.

Even an unlikely defeat by the minnows on Monday could see the Three Lions qualify, bearing in mind they are three points clear at the top of the group and have a superior goal difference of six over Poland who face Hungary on the same evening.

Gareth Southgate’s side are understandably 1/200 to beat the world’s lowest-ranked team, who have lost all nine games, but let’s see if there are some other options for our San Marino v England betting tips.

Match Odds

Harry Kane struck a first-half hat-trick in England’s 5-0 victory against the Albanians and a similar margin of victory is expected in Serravalle.

San Marino have scored just once and conceded 36 times at an average of four goals per game during the group stage, so the omens do not look good for a team that have only ever won one match, a friendly against Liechtenstein 17 years ago.

England are available at 1/3 to win by at least five goals as they have done in all seven matches since their first encounter in 1993.

Southgate is likely to make wholesale changes for Monday’s game for which they are 5/1 to win 5-0 for the third time in four meetings while 6-0 can be backed at 24/5 in our San Marino v England betting tips.

England took just nine minutes to take the lead on Friday night through Harry Maguire and in the first match against San Marino it was James Ward-Prowse’s 14th-minute goal that put the hosts ahead, so the Three Lions to break the deadlock inside a quarter of an hour is 10/11.

England scored all five goals against Albania in the opening 45 minutes and are available at 5/2 for four or more goals to be scored in the first half.

Talking Tactics

Southgate went with a 3-4-3 against Albania and many of those that were on the bench that night are likely to be in the starting line-up.

The likes of Trent Alexander-Arnold,  Jude Bellingham, Tyrone Mings, Bukayo Saka, Tammy Abraham, Sam Johnstone and Emile Smith Rowe, who made his senior debut as a second-half substitute on Friday, could all get the nod.

However, Jordan Henderson, Jack Grealish, Raheem Sterling, Mason Mount and Luke Shaw have all withdrawn, so Conor Gallagher has earned a first senior call-up

San Marino deployed a 4-2-3-1 at Wembley but changed to a 4-4-2 for the 4-0 defeat in Hungary but it does not matter what formation they use as the outcome is almost inevitable.

Goalscorer Odds

Abraham is 15/8 to break the deadlock or 1/9 to score any time while Kane is 6/4 and 1/14 in the same markets or just 7/5 to bag a second successive hat-trick.

The England captain may not start on Monday so it’s worth checking the starting line-ups an hour before kick-off.

Saka and Smith Rowe are 8/11 and 4/6 to get on the scoresheet while we go 11/2/ and 7/2 on Conor Coady and Mings finding the net.

Match Info

Where: San Marino Stadium, Serravalle

When: 19:45, Monday 15th November

How to watch: ITV

View the latest World Cup qualification odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Warren Barner