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Scotland stage of elimination odds: Will Tartan Army make knockout stage?

| 01.06.2021

Scotland get their Euro 2020 campaign up and running against Czech Republic on Monday afternoon.

Having reached their first major finals since 1998, Steve Clarke’s side have been priced as 200/1 outsiders to win the tournament and will also face England and Croatia in Group D.

Here we look at all the options in the Scotland stage of elimination odds .


With England and Croatia likely to provide tough opposition, a good start in their Hampden Park opener looks crucial for the Scots, who are 4/7 to exit at the group stage.

Clarke’s side also have home advantage for their last group game against Croatia, with a trip to Wembley for a highly-anticipated clash with England in between.

One reason for the Tartan Army’s optimism is their recent record against their group-stage opponents.

Scotland have won their last three games against the Czechs, with Ryan Fraser netting a Nations League winner in their most recent clash last October.

The Scots have not faced old foes England since a dramatic 2-2 World Cup qualifying draw in June 2017, while they have never lost in five meetings with Croatia – most recently securing a 2-0 win in October 2013.


Should Scotland make it past the opening round of a major tournament for the first time in their history, they are 11/5 to be eliminated in the last 16.

Win Group D and Scotland would face the runners-up in Group F, which contains World Cup winners France, defending champions Portugal and European heavyweights Germany.

Callum McGregor Scotland

A runner-up finish will see Scotland face the second-placed team in Group E, which is likely to be either Sweden or Poland.

Scraping through in third would leave Scotland facing a group winner in the knockout stages, with Belgium, Holland and Spain all potential opponents – and a third-place finish is the only chance Scotland have of a last-16 match in Glasgow, although it would not be guaranteed.


Should Scotland win their first knockout game at a major tournament the Tartan Army will already have plenty to celebrate.

Depending on their route to the last eight, Spain or the winners of France and Germany’s groups are potential opponents, with Scotland 8/1 to be knocked out at the quarter-final stage.


Clarke will have well and truly written his name into Scottish folklore should Scotland make it to the last four.

A semi-final appearance would mean a return to Wembley, with Scotland 28/1 to bow out at this stage.

Runner-up and winner

With relative minnows Denmark and Greece having lifted the European Championships in the last 30 years, Scotland are not without reason to dream.

The Scots are 66/1 to finish as tournament runners-up, or 200/1 to write their names in the history books as tournament winners.

View the latest Euro 2020 odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication



Warren Barner