Category Archives: Premier League

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How are the odds calculated in football betting?

By | Euro 2016, Football, Premier League, The Champions League, The FA Cup | No Comments

All good punters need to have a solid grasp of odds when betting on football, or any other sport for that matter. And the more you know about odds, the more daring and elaborate you can be with your accumulators and or any type of bet.

So, just think how valuable it would be to gain a true understanding of the ways in which bookmakers calculate their odds! Here at Ladbrokes, we think it’s time we let you into the secret… Use the knowledge and test your skills on Ladbrokes’ 2018 world cup betting odds.

Bookmakers’ odds and their true value

Quite simply, all bookmakers need to make a profit to stay in business. So rather than calculating odds with true probabilities, bookmakers adjust them slightly to ensure they bring in a profit.


Let’s say that following close analysis of statistics, injuries and so on, a bookie works out the following:

  • Team 1: has a 25% chance of winning
  • Team 2: has a 55% chance of winning
  • There is a 20% chance of a draw between the two sides

As the probabilities above add up to 100%, this means that the bookmaker will neither win nor lose any money.

So to make a profit, the bookmaker adjusts the probabilities, like so:

  • Team 1: has a 32.4% chance of a win after alterations
  • Team 2: has a 54% chance of a win after alterations
  • A draw between the two clubs: 21.6% chance after alterations

The percentages above add up to 108%, which gives the bookmaker an 8% profit margin. In European decimal odds, these odds are displayed as coefficients, like so:

54% = 1.85

32.4% = 3.09

21.6% = 4.63

At the odds stated above, the bookmaker pays out the punter’s stake x 1.85, or 3.09, or 4.63 (depending on the result).

So let’s say a punter splits a £100 stake to put £50 on a win by Team 1, £30 on a win for Team 2 and the remaining £20 on a draw.

In the event that Team 1 wins the match, the bookkeeper must pay out the £50*1.85 = £92.50.

In the event that Team 2 wins, the bookkeeper must hand over 30*3.09 = 92.70

If the game ends in a draw, then the bookie needs to pay out 20*4.63 = £92.60

You see how close the resulting pay outs are? For the example above, we distributed the £100 proportionately to show you how bookies make their money. In essence, they want you to bet this way so they can carry on making a profit no matter what the outcome.

To achieve this, bookmakers balance true probability with public opinion. You rarely see odds contrasting with public opinion. This is because doing so would result in punters making a disproportionate number of wagers on one side of the bet. This would increase risk of loss for the bookmaker, as well as for the punter.

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Balancing the books

A bookie’s job is to balance the books and to make a small amount of profit consistently. For this reason, they don’t look to fleece their customers. Instead, they want to keep them coming back again and again and to reduce the chances of losing money themselves.

The best bookmakers know they can’t balance their books for every single football match. To them, it’s all about spreading risk to manage small changes in profit margins.

Here at Ladbrokes, we understand that this is exactly the way that the most successful punters manage their betting money. By sharing some secrets about the way our industry operates, we also want to show how we’ve built up relationships with our best customers through mutual trust and understanding. Learn more about how to bet on football and other sports in our online betting guide

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The Premier League winners list

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At the point where the whistle blows for the season’s curtain raiser, all teams in the league are equal. Each club wants nothing more than to have their named etched upon the Premier League trophy come the curtain call, sending a signal to the rest of the country that they’re the ones to beat.

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Premier league winners list since 1992


Year         Winners Runners-up Third place
2016-2017  Chelsea  Tottenham Hotspur  Manchester City
 2015-2016  Leicester City  Arsenal  Tottenham
 2014-2015  Chelsea  Man City  Arsenal
2013-2014  Man City Liverpool  Chelsea
2012-2013  Manchester United Man City Chelsea
2011-2012 Man City Manchester United Arsenal
2010-2011 Manchester United Chelsea Man City
2009-2010 Chelsea Manchester Utd Arsenal
2008-2009 Manchester United Liverpool Chelsea
2007-2008 Manchester United Chelsea Arsenal
2006-2007 Manchester United Chelsea Liverpool
2005-2006 Chelsea Manchester Utd Liverpool
2004-2005 Chelsea Arsenal Manchester Utd
2003-2004 Arsenal Chelsea Manchester Utd
2002-2003 Manchester United Arsenal Newcastle Utd
2001-2002 Arsenal Liverpool Manchester Utd
2000-2001 Manchester United Arsenal Liverpool
1999-2000 Manchester United Arsenal Leeds Utd
1998-1999 Manchester United Arsenal Chelsea
1997-1998 Arsenal Manchester United Liverpool
1996 – 1997 Manchester United Newcastle Utited
1995-1996 Manchester United Newcastle United Liverpool
1994-1995  Blackburn Rovers  Manchester United Nottingham Forest
1993-1994 Manchester United Blackburn Newcastle utd
1992-1993 Manchester United Aston Villa Norwich City

Who has won the Premier League  most times?

In its short history, just five teams have emerged victorious in the Premier League. Here, we take a look at those five, and the managers and players involved in their famous wins.

Here the teams with more Premier League titles since 1992

  1. Manchester United – 13 Titles
  2. Chelsea – 4 titles
  3. Arsenal – 3 titles
  4. Manchester City – 2 titles
  5. Blackburn Rovers – 1 title

Manchester United

Seasons won title (13): 1992-93, 1993-94, 1995-96, 1996-97, 1998-99, 1999-00, 2000-01, 2002-03, 2006-07, 2007-08, 2008-09, 2010-11, 2012-13.

Manager: Sir Alex Ferguson.

Top scorer (overall): Wayne Rooney – as of March 2016, Rooney has scored 192 goals in the Premier League, making him second highest scorer in the Premier League behind the now-retired Alan Shearer.

Rooney’s tally in all competitions stands at 244 goals, putting him second on the all-time Manchester United scorers list, behind Bobby Charlton with 249.

Notable players: Eric Cantona, Peter Schmeichel, Roy Keane, Ryan Giggs, Paul Scholes, David Beckham, Dwight Yorke, Andy Cole, Rio Ferdinand, Cristiano Ronaldo and many others!

Blackburn Rovers

Season won title (1): 1994-95.

Manager: Kenny Dalglish.

Top scorer: Alan Shearer – scored 34 goals. Shearer formed a lethal strike partnership with Chris Sutton who scored 15. Shearer was also top scorer in the Premier League this season.

Notable players: Shearer, Sutton, Tim Sherwood, Tim Flowers.

Back in the mid-1990s, Blackburn were the big money club thanks to a seemingly endless supply of cash from owner and lifelong fan, Jack Walker.

They broke the British record transfer fee to sign Shearer from Southampton in 1992. This move clearly paid off: by 1995, they became league champions for the first time in 81 years.


Seasons won title (3): 1997-98, 2001-02, 2003-04.

Manager: Arsène Wenger.

Top scorers: Dennis Bergkamp, 16 (1997-98), and Thierry Henry, 24 (2001-02), and 30 (2003-04). Both of these players formed a fearsome strike partnership during the 2003-04 season, during which Arsenal went a whole season without losing a single match.

Notable players: David Seaman, Tony Adams, Henry, Patrick Viera.


Seasons won title (4): 2004-05, 2005-06, 2009-10, 2014-15.

Managers: José Mourinho (3), Carlo Ancelotti (1).

Top scorers: Frank Lampard, 13 (2004-05) and 16 (2005-06), Didier Drogba, 29 (2009-10), and Diego Costa 20 (2014-15).

Notable players: Petr Cech, John Terry, Frank Lampard, Didier Drogba.

Chelsea won the Premier League for the very first time in 2004-05 when José Mourinho became manager. He led Chelsea to a run of 75 home games without losing once. They also won a record 95 points in Mourinho’s first season at Stamford Bridge.

Manchester City

Season won title (2): 2011-12, 2013-14.

Managers: Roberto Mancini, Manuel Pellegrini.

Top scorers: Sergio Agüero, 23 (2011-12), and Yaya Touré, 20 (2013-14).

Notable players: Joe Hart, Vincent Kompany, Yaya Touré, Sergio Agüero.

In the 2011-12 season, City won the league title for the first time since 1968 (44 years).

There have been 47 teams to play in the Premier League, yet just five of those teams have won the title. This is proof the dominance of the richer clubs in the league, and showing just how demanding a competition it can be.

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What are the different types of ‘specials’ in football betting?

By | Betting Guides, Football, Premier League, The Champions League, The FA Cup | No Comments

You know the score – literally: betting in football largely revolves around predicting which team will outscore the other.

When it comes to the specials market however, you’re able to do more than pick a winner. Have your say on the potential score line, pick which manager’s next in the sack race, or who’s going to miss a penalty at the weekend; there’s everything to play for.

Winning margin

As its name suggests, this bet requires you to guess the winning margin during a particular match.

Fancy Leeds United to beat Charlton Athletic by two goals? If you place a two goal winning margin bet and either Leeds or Charlton win 2-0, 4-2, 5-3, 12-10, or by any other two goal margin, you will see a return on your stake.

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Clean sheet odds

For those of you who are not familiar with the term, a team gets a clean sheet when it manages not to concede a single goal during the course of a match. Arsenal were renowned for incredible defensive play back in the 1980s and 1990s, so the odds of a clean sheet may have been 1/6 around that time.

However these days, they’re known for lacking strength in defence, and that will mean that the odds of them getting a clean sheet are higher.

Penalty/Missed penalty

Penalties are often the cause of heated discussions between pundits and punters alike both during and after football games.

As a result, it’s perhaps no surprise that bookies allow you to bet on whether a spot kick will be awarded and whether the taker will score or miss.

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Results minute markets

If you want to be really specific, you can place a bet that applies for exact portions of a match. This means you can bet on whether there’ll be a goal or a booking between the 10 and 20th minutes, for example.

You can even bet on how many corners will be awarded during that period. In fact, there’s virtually no limit to the precise predictions on which you can place bets.

Red card

We know that some footballers are more passionate than others and get booked more often as a result.

Some get booked for over-zealous celebrations, whereas others get yellow cards for getting a bit carried away during disagreements with the referee.

The precise reasons for the double booking or straight red card don’t matter; as long as you’ve placed that winning bet, you’ll see a return.

Next manager

This is another popular special bet. With managers coming and going so frequently, there is always speculation as to who will be taking over, so punters can have a go at making predictions.

The specials market gives you the chance to add an extra flair to your football watching, allowing you to have your say on both the on- and off-field antics that surround the beautiful game.

From red cards to clean sheets, the list of specials on which you can bet is practically endless.

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How to read football betting odds

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Football betting odds can be expressed as decimals or fractions. If you’re confused by one or the other (or both) – never fear! Here at Ladbrokes, we aim to make it all easier to understand.

How to understand betting odds?

Well, there isn’t any monetary difference between decimal and fractional odds. They are quite simply two different ways of expressing the same thing.

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Fractional odds

Examples of fractional odds include 1/4 and 7/2. There are many ways to understand the way they work, but the easiest is: [how much will you win] / [how much you stake].

So, if you have odds of 10/1, you stand to win £10 for every £1 you bet. If you bet 7/2, you will receive £7 in winnings, plus your £2 stake.

Odds-on selections

Fractional odds can appear the wrong way round, for example, 2/7 or 1/10.  These are known as ‘odds-on selections’. So in the case of a 1/7 selection, you would have to stake £7 to win £1.

You will see these types of odds when the team you’re betting on is strong favourite to win (or sometimes lose).

Decimal odds

Many punters and even bookmakers consider decimal odds to be much easier to understand than the fractional equivalent. Indeed, for most punters, knowing which is the greater number between 10/6 or 8/5 takes some mental arithmetic (or a calculator).

On the other hand, it’s pretty easy to see straight away that 3.90 is a bigger number than 3.85.

How do I calculate decimal odds?

To work out your winnings, all you need to do is multiply your stake by your decimal odds.

So, if you stake £10 at decimal odds of 4, then your winnings will be £40.

In the case of decimal odds, your stake is included automatically in your returns. In addition, odds of 2.0 represent even money (the same as 1/1). Any decimal odds of less than 2.0 constitute an odds-on bet.

Being able to read and interpret odds will give you a great foundation for picking which team you want to back, as well as how much you’re willing to bet.

Take some time to get to grips with how odds work, and you will be able to choose your stakes quickly and with more confidence. Later test your judgement on Ladbrokes’ 2018 world cup betting odds.

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England’s most glorious football moments

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Over the years, England has been one of the most dominant countries in shaping and developing the football world, producing some world-class players, and hosting one of the most prestigious domestic leagues around.

Both on an international and club level, England has seen some incredible football moments, and we’ve listed four of our all-time favourites.

England wins the World Cup in 1966

Back in 1966, England was widely considered to the best national team in the world.

The fact that the tournament was held in England made the national team outright favourites. Despite an uninspiring draw in the first group match, England looked almost unstoppable for the rest of the tournament.

The final itself against West Germany was held at Wembley and was a thrilling match. Finishing 2-2 after 90 minutes, the match exploded in the half an hour of extra time. A dubious second goal from Geoff Hurst – the source of controversy ever since – put the hosts 3-2 in front.

Finally, a third from Hurst in the dying seconds of the game made England world champions for the first – and as yet – only time. Hurst remains the only player to score a hat-trick in a World Cup final.

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Nottingham Forest wins back-to-back European Cups

While Manchester United became the first English club to win the European Cup in 1968, Nottingham Forest remains the only club in the country to achieve the feat twice in a row (1979 and 1980).

What makes the feat even more remarkable is the fact that Nottingham Forest was a relatively small, provincial club that had only won promotion to the top tier of the domestic league in 1977.

This period of unprecedented success means that Brian Clough can lay claim to be one of the greatest English club manager of all time.

Manchester United wins the treble 1999

Manchester United have dominated English football for most of the being the Premier League winners 13 times, and the club achieved its greatest feat in 1999: the year it won the league title, FA Cup and Champions League in a single year.

The thrilling FA Cup semi-final match against then arch-rivals, Arsenal, saw Dennis Bergkamp miss a penalty. Most memorably, it was the match in which Ryan Giggs scored a wonder goal that made a mockery of one of the best defences in the game.

In the Champions League final against Bayern Munich, the Red Devils trailed 1-0 for most of the match. It wasn’t until the last few minutes that substitute Teddy Sheringham equalised at short range, before Ole Gunnar Solskjær scored the winner less than a minute later.

United were the first club to achieve this treble. Such was the scale of this feat that some pundits predict that it is one that will never be repeated.

Liverpool wins the Champions League for a fifth time

After dominating European football in the 1970s and early 1980s, Liverpool FC was a shadow of its former self by 2005.

Having not won the domestic league title since 1991, the Reds got into the Champions League by the skin of their teeth, after finishing fourth in the 2003-04 season.

Liverpool’s form in Europe in 2004-05 contrasted sharply with that in the league. But after getting to the semi-final, they managed to scrape past Premier League champions Chelsea to face AC Milan in the final.

During the final, Liverpool were trailing 3-0 at half-time and it didn’t look good for the then four-time champions. But after clawing three goals back over a thrilling six-minute period, Liverpool went on to win the match in a penalty shootout.

As this was the fifth time that Liverpool were crowned champions of Europe, they were allowed to keep the European Champion Clubs’ Cup permanently.

With one of the most respected domestic leagues in the world, there is little wonder that English football has produced some incredible moments, from underdog clubs exceeding all expectations to ultimate national success.

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What is a football accumulator and how do I place a bet?

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Football accumulator betting tips

Football accumulator betting has become increasingly popular in the UK over the last two decades. For many, it now slots right in as an essential part of the week – alongside actually watching the footy itself! But what is a football accumulator? And how do you go about placing a bet?

What is an accumulator?

Frequently known as an ‘accy’ or ‘acca’, a football accumulator is a bet that combines two or more selections into a single bet. For instance, you could fancy Real Madrid, Liverpool, PSG, and Borussia Dortmund all to win at the weekend, so you’d stick on a single bet that they all do. If you think a fixture will be a draw, you can select ‘draw’ and add that to your selection. So if you fancy wins for Real Madrid, Liverpool, and PSG but fancy Dortmund to draw at the weekend, you could stick a bet on that. It pulls together all the odds into one selection and will only give you a return when all your selections are predicted correctly.

One of the other most common examples is the ‘Both Teams To Score’ accumulator. You bet ‘yes’ or ‘no’ on whether you think both teams will score in each game in your selection. There’s many more complex versions though. You could also pull together selections that range from how many corners a team will get or how many goals a team will win by.

How to create an accumulator?

It really couldn’t be easier. Check out our Premier League betting page or our football page if the Prem isn’t your thing.

Now you have the Sportsbook in front of you, it’s time to select your picks. You don’t have to stick to one league and you can spread your bet over a number of days. Over the course of a weekend, there’s football from a variety of different countries for you to include in your acca. You could start it off with a Friday night game in the Championship or La Liga for example. You could then build your acca with a lunchtime Scottish game on a Saturday and round it off with a Premier League match on a Monday night. Outright win, lose, or draw accas may be popular but you could go for specific match results or scorers. As an example in a match between Crystal Palace and Liverpool. Liverpool is 21/10 to win and score Over 3.5 goals. It’s not all about the big teams though, you could even bet on the German reserve league! – but remember the more teams on the accumulator the less chance of winning!

Advanced tips!

Many may be comfortable with a BTTS or an outright accy but others like to build a bet with a few more advanced tips. A Trixie involves four bets with three selections in different events. The bet includes three doubles and one treble. A minimum of two of your selections must come in to get a return.


A Heinz consists of 57 bets involving six selections in different events. The bet includes 15 doubles, 20 trebles, a huge 15 four-folds, 6 five-fold, and a six-fold accumulator. A £1 Heinz costs conveniently £57. You can back one at £1 each way at £114. You may feel with the volume of moving parts in this bet, it’s better to go with the heavy favourites but this isn’t necessarily the case. A mix of supposed strong favourites, mid-priced selections and a pick at larger odds could be the way to go.


An Asian handicap can be used to bet on an outcome of a football match where the two teams are given a positive or negative goal-related handicap. What does this mean? Well, the handicap is a figure such as +0.5 or +2.5 or -1.0 or -2.0. This figure represents either a goal head-start or a goal deficit for either team.

For example, if Man City are 1/12 to beat Huddersfield. Thus price suggests City could run up a score. So you could put on an Asian handicap on City at -2.5. This means you are backing them win by three goals or more.

What can you win?

There are a number of ways you could win a football accumulator. More often than not all your picks must come in to claim your returns. Have a look at our Best Acca Around page for the latest accumulator offers The feature is available on all of our football leagues where your bet will be recalculated as though the pick hadn’t been selected. So your losing five-fold could become a winning four-fold for instance! Then there are Odds Boosts. Another popular feature among our acca customers. With this feature, you get the chance to instantly boost your odds on any pre-event sports bet – every day! You can do this simply by logging into your Ladbrokes account from 10:00 am (UK Time) and head straight for your ‘My Account’ section where your Odds Boost toke will be waiting for you! The difference between this and any normal price enhancement is that you have full control over when and what to use your Odds Boost on. In February 2018, a customer turned 50p into a whopping £61,482. The plucky punter correctly predicted the outcome of a 17-match European accumulator. The bettors’ dream appeared to be dashed when Crewe Alexandra struck in the 88th minute. But two stoppage-time goals from Exeter saw his dream become a reality! Many would have cashed out after that 88th-minute goal. Because sometimes you do need a safety net! The Cash Out facility allows you to settle your bet before the market/event has been completed. This can be a big money-saver or money-maker in some cases depending on how well your bet is doing. A re-calculated sum will appear at the bottom of your betting slip which you can then take home!

When an accumulator does come in, it can be a hefty win. In 2011, one lucky Ladbrokes punter won a massive £272k from a £2.50 nine-fold acca! An 85th minute Fernando Llorente strike for Athletic Bilbao salvaged a 1-1 draw against Barca and gave the mystery man a huge pay-day! Disclaimer: Tips are for information purposes only and do not guarantee a win No betting strategy should encourage you to bet more than you can afford.

All Odds and Markets correct as of the date of the publication

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What are the different leagues in English football?

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The English football league system is a series of interconnected football leagues, each with their own divisions (commonly also referred to as ‘leagues’ in their own right).

Here is a guide to the main leagues and divisions in English football.

The Premier League

The Premier League is the top league in English football. Founded in 1992, the Premier League now consists of 20 teams.

The top three teams in the Premier League qualify automatically to compete in the UEFA Champions League. The team which finishes fourth has to take part in a preliminary play-off to enter the Champions League proper.

The team which places fifth at the end of the season qualifies automatically for the Europa League; they are joined in that competition by the winners of the FA Cup and League Cup.

The teams which finish in the bottom three of the Premier League table face relegation to the Football League Championship.

Check out here all the Premier League Winners since 1992.

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The Football League

72 teams from England and Wales play in the Football League. The system consists of three divisions in the form of the following:

The Championship: This is the highest tier of the Football League and second-highest overall. 24 club teams currently play in the Championship. At the end of each season, the two top teams receive direct promotion to the Premier League.

Teams which finish 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th in the Championship take part in the play-offs. The winner of this mini-competition takes the third promotion place and joins the Premier League. At the end of the season, the bottom three teams in the division are relegated to League One.

League One: This is the second tier of the Football League and the third overall. 24 teams play in League One.

The promotion and play-off system is the same as in the Championship. However, those who gain promotion leave League One and take part in the Championship the following season. The bottom four teams are relegated to League Two.

League Two: This is the third tier of the Football League and the fourth overall. The teams which finish in the top three at the end of each season gain automatic promotion to League One.

Teams placed in the bottom two clubs are relegated to the National League.

The National League                                       

The National League System consists of 17 different levels immediately below the Football League.

Rather confusingly, the highest (and best known) tier of the National League System is also known as the National League (it was previously called the Conference Premier division).

There are 24 teams in the National League. Only the champions gain automatic promotion to League Two. A play-off draw between the 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th placed teams decides which of them gains the second promotion place.

The teams which finish in the bottom four at the end of the season are relegated to one of two regional divisions: National League North and National League South.

The division into which a relegated team goes is based on geographical criteria.

As the national sport, there are many different football leagues in England, from the cream of the crop of professional football (Premier League), to smaller divisions mostly involving semi-professional players.

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How to place a bet on a football match online

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While some people still love going into their local Ladbrokes betting shop, our website now makes it easier and quicker than ever to place a bet.

So if you want to place a bet on a football match, this step-by-step guide shows you how…

Step 1: Visit the Ladbrokes website

Go to the Ladbrokes website to start.

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Step 2: Register an account

This step can put some people off, but our website is designed to make joining as painless as possible. Simply click “JOIN NOW” on the red bar in the top right-hand corner. This will open a registration screen. You can then enter your personal details, create a password and choose your betting currency. You must be 18 or over to register, and the whole process should take you no more than three minutes.

To join even quicker, you can link to your PayPal account via the yellow button in the top left-hand corner of the registration screen.

Step 3: Choose a payment method

The easiest way to deposit money in your Ladbrokes account is to use your credit/debit card. Yet we also offer a number of payment methods for your convenience. The minimum deposit and withdrawal times vary from one payment method to another.

You can then choose your preferred method and deposit the amount of your choice. Our website is very secure. With this in mind, you can be sure that your personal details and money are in safe hands.

Choosing your deposit amount

If you’re new to football betting, please be aware that you don’t have to deposit a large amount: it is crucial never to bet what you can’t afford to lose.

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Step 4: Find your bets

Now you’ve got the boring bit done and dusted, it’s time to have some fun placing your bets. If it’s your first bet, we’d suggest putting some thought into your selection. It may be wise to place on bets on teams and/or players whose form you know and understand.

Making your bets on the Ladbrokes site is easy. Just click on the bet you want and our system adds it to your betting slip. If you wish to deselect your choice, just click on it again. When you choose a bet, the rectangle containing the odds for that particular bet will turn green. Visit our World Cup page to check world cup football odds and test your knowledge.

As you can see, the Ladbrokes website makes placing your football bets very easy. If you have any issues, our dedicated support team is on hand via phone and email to help whenever you need us.

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Football betting tips: Advanced

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If you’ve mastered the basics of football betting, you may feel ready to take it to the next level.

While there is no such thing as a sure-fire system, there are a few golden rules you should follow if you want to become a truly successful punter.

Know your values

In football betting (and other betting for that matter), good value occurs when bookmakers’ odds offers a reward which outweighs any risk. To figure this out, you need to:

Estimate a side’s chance of winning

Find the best decimal price for your bet

Multiply the chance (%) of a win against the bookie’s odds

Any result of 1.00 or more means the bet has value (and may be worth a punt!)


So if you think that Swansea City have a 50% chance of winning at home, then you will only make the bet if you can find a price better than 2.00. This is because 50% = 0.50 * 2.00 = 1.00 (fair value).

If you continue to make bets with a value of less than 1.00, you will actually lose money over the course of the season.

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Home advantage rules OK

It is widely accepted that football teams tend to perform better at home than if they were away. If you look at pretty much every football league season, you’ll see that teams score more goals at home than they do away over the course of a season.


Let’s assume that in a Premier League season, the total number of wins by home sides is 179 over the course of a season. Let’s also assume there were 86 draws and 115 defeats. It’s clear from these figures alone that the home advantage is very real.

But how much is this advantage? You can work it out by taking the number of home wins and home defeats and divide them by two (179 + 115/2).

First, add up the home wins and home losses, and divide by two. So in this case: (179 + 115) / 2 = 147. This number is the expected number of wins if there was no home advantage for any team.

Now, divide the total number of home wins by the expected number of wins without home advantage (179 / 147 = 1.21). This result tells us that in the league, home teams had a 21% advantage over away teams.

Recent form

Another great way of assessing the wisdom of certain bets is to look closely at recent form (rather than that over the whole season).

The thinking here is that a team on a winning run with a totally fit squad will be full of confidence. This in turn may give them the edge over a historically better team suffering from a short run of bad results.


Injuries can have a hugely negative impact on a side, even if the absent player is part of a strong squad.

Central defenders and goalkeepers often tend to be the difference between winning and losing. If one of those players is missing, then that’s a sign that they could be due a dip in form. This is especially true if the missing player is also the captain.

As we said before, football betting isn’t an exact science. Yet keeping a close eye on these different aspects of the game can give you a better chance of guessing the match outcome correctly.

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Football betting tips: For beginners

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If you’re new to betting, it would be smart to learn a thing or two before you pick who you are going to stake your money on.

Fortunately, there are a few easy steps you can take to improve your chances of winning money by on the football.

Never bet what you can’t afford to lose

Here at Ladbrokes, the need to bet responsibly is something we take very seriously. So, if you want to keep having fun on your football accumulator or your handicap – don’t overstretch yourself.

Work out what you can afford to lose bet before you start and avoid betting big to counter a losing streak.

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Long shots offer long odds for a reason

We all wish we’d bet on Greece to win Euro 2004 at 250/1. However, such long shots don’t often come in, which is exactly why the odds are long in the first place!

Even at 50/1, if a bookie is willing to offer you £50 for every quid you bet, that team almost certainly won’t hit the jackpot in your lifetime.

Do your homework

Just because your mate is convinced that the only way to win big is by putting his money down on a random 12-team accumulator, it doesn’t mean you should too. Unless you follow the form of the teams you’re thinking of betting on, don’t do it!

After all, the more teams you bet on, the less likely you are to win.

When it comes to placing bets as a beginner, the old Chinese proverb ‘every journey starts with a single step’ is one to remember.

An effective (not to mention easy and cheap) way of learning about the best ways to bet, is to read up on the subject. Keep an eye on form, understand the value of your bets before you make them and you’ll be on to a winner!

Remember to have fun!

Let’s face it – gambling can be really fun. Yet the more seriously you take it, the less likely you are to enjoy the thrill of it all.

If you’re truly committed to bringing in returns on your football betting, you can in the long run. However, we recommend you master the basics first, and move onto more advanced tactics later on. Take our advices and check out world cup football tips.

By following our simple tips, you’ll be well on your way.