Get all the Grand National tips for 2018!
The 2018 Grand National is nearly upon us. It is one of the most prominent sporting events of the entire year. And arguably, it’s the biggest and most famous horse race of the year.
This year’s race takes place at Aintree Racecourse at 5:15 pm on April 14th.
Around 600 million viewers worldwide will tune in to watch this year’s renewal. That’s more than the Super Bowl and the UEFA Champions League final combined.
And a significant number of that 600m will also have a bet, too. It’s the event more than any other that will draw in the casual punter for their annual flutter.
But how do bettors place a bet on Grand National? Well, there are a number of different combinations. Seasoned horse racing experts like to go on things like course, distance, and form. The more amateur punter might back a horse on its silks or its name.
Favourites don’t tend to win this race, however. So you might need some help. Here’s a guide to Grand National Tips that will aid your bets.
Don’t forget the form
When it comes to the Grand National and trying to pick a winner, there are many boxes a bet must tick. Seasoned horse racing punters will check on everything from ground conditions to the jockey’s form.
Horses are foremost in many racing observers’ minds, however. It’s a long jumps season and many of the favourites have raced in a lot of renewals up until now.
Some will have been rested specifically for this huge race. This year’s Grand National favourite, for example, Blaklion, didn’t run at Cheltenham so he’d be nice and fresh for Aintree.
It’s important to look at the form of the various trainers and stables involved. Gordon Elliott and Willie Mullins had exceptional Cheltenham Festivals and could be big players here.
Would you like to know more about horse racing betting? Click here to learn how to place a bet on horse racing
Keep an eye on the Grand National trends
Analysing the trends of past winners can, a lot of the time, give the punter an edge over the bookies. It gives bettors a pattern of the most important statistics that make up a Grand National winner.
Here are just a few ahead of the 2018 Grand National:
- 23 of the last 27 winners were aged 9-years-old or older
- 5 of the last 12 winners came from Irish-based stables
- 5 of the last 27 runnings have been won by the favourite
- 15 of the last 27 (56%) market leaders were placed
- 8 of the last 15 winners came from the top eight in the betting
- 26 of the last 27 winners ran no more than 55 days ago, while 21 of the last 27 raced no more than 34 days ago
It used to be thought that weight was a crucial factor, with very few winning horses weighted at 11st or more, but in recent years this trend has turned.6 of the last 11 winners have been weighted at 11st or more, with the change being attributed to the race attracting a better standard of horse.
Applying these statistics to a bet won’t give you any guarantees, but it will give you a good chance of ensuring your bet is sound and your horse has a good chance. Get to grips with these numbers, and you can enjoy picking the horse that you think will emerge victoriously.
2018 Grand National favourites
So, bearing in mind the form, and analysing the trends, who are the favourites for the 2018 Grand National?
Nigel Twiston-Davies’ Blaklion and Willie Mullins’ Total Recall currently head the betting jointly at 10/1.Blaklion went off as favourite here last year, but finished a disappointing fourth. Davies’ nine-year-old charge was also beaten by Yala Enki at the Grand National Trial at Haydock back in February.
Total Recall originally opened at 16/1 but has shortened significantly since. Mullins’ star has won the Munster National, the Ladbrokes Trophy, and the William Fry Handicap Hurdle at Leopardstown.
Elsewhere, Anibale Fly, Cause Of Causes, Minella Rocco, The Last Samuri, and Cheltenham winner, Tiger Roll, are all at 16/1.
Another Cheltenham winner, Rathvinden, is currently at 25/1. Willie Mullins’ charge ran a brilliant race at Prestbury Park to win the National Hunt Challenge Cup.
Types of bets available
An each-way bet is a bet that consists of two separate bets. You bet both on the win, and on a place. For the win part of the bet to return you money, the selection must obviously finish first.
For the place bet, your pick must either win or finish in one of the leading places of the race.
Betting on Grand National Favourite
By betting on the favourite, you are placing money on the horse that the bookies think is most likely to win the race.
The odds of this horse are shorter than any other. Depending on how open a race is, or how strong a horse is fancied, a favourite’s odds could be quite short.
What does a handicap mean?
A handicap race in horse racing is a race in which horses carry different weights.
Essentially, the best-rated horse in the race will be given the most weight to carry in the race, allocated by the handicapper.
This essentially evens up the race and allows the perceived less-inferior races a chance of winning the race. In the absence of weights, the best horses would almost certainly win most races at a canter.
How does the Aintree course going affect the result?
Course conditions are vitally important to race meetings. Certain horses will favour certain conditions over others.
For example, a horse might hugely enjoy soft conditions. Therefore rain, or even heavy rain, before the race, will favour his chances of running a better race.
On the flipside, a horse might prefer good running ground. And if rain and soft ground is forecast, he or she could be pulled from the race.
Course conditions include: good, good to soft, soft, and heavy.