Murray vs Ferrer – Odds-on Murray is yet to beat Ferrer this year
Plenty of stipulations surround this match as the winner looks to progress to the semi-finals of the ATP World Tour Finals, but David Ferrer knows that he must win convincingly to stand a chance.
Having lost his first two matches without winning a set, David Ferrer, 10/3 to beat Andy Murray, harbours a small hope of progressing but only if he can repeat his two straight set victories over Murray this year.
Considering Ferrer’s form in this tournament Murray is as short as 1/5 to beat the Spaniard, but Murray has only beaten Ferrer once in four attempts and offers no value at that price.
Ferrer is 13/2 to win either 2-0 or 2-1, but three of the four matches between the two have ended 2-0 and considering Ferrer must go out to win convincingly, backing him to win 2-1 seems a bit fruitless.
Murray looked lacklustre when he was blown away by Federer in his last match, and it may take the Scot going a set down to kick start his ATP challenge.
Despite the two players only going the distance once in four matches, at 5/1 to lose the first set and win the match, Murray offers plenty of value in what is sure to be a tense tie for the Scot in front of a partisan crowd.
Last year Murray had to beat Fernando Verdasco in straight sets to confirm qualification.
The Scot could only manage to win in three sets but Del Potro’s victory over Federer meant that Murray failed to qualify and the Scot will not want a repeat of last year’s scenario – Murray is 4/7 to beat Ferrer 2-0.
The form suggests that world number eight Ferrer has the capability to beat Murray, but it all depends on how Ferrer reacts to his opening two defeats.
A £10 stake on Murray coming from behind to win would return £60. New customers can sign up here for a free £10 bet.