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Liverpool vs Brighton: Home side to avoid upset with narrow win

| 18.02.2012

1/4 Liverpool should be able to justify their short price tag to beat Brighton at Anfield on Sunday, as they aim to make a double appearance at Wembley by competing in both the FA and League Cup finals.

The two sides have met earlier in the season, and whilst Liverpool claimed an eventual narrow 2-1 victory at the Amex Stadium, the extent to which Brighton were never really in the game is indicated by their lengthy 11/1 odds to pull off a shock here.

You can get 9/2 on the draw, and as Liverpool have played out eight stalemates from twelve league games at Anfield this season, that may not be a bad bet.

Although Luis Suarez has returned from suspension, goals have still been hard to come by for Liverpool, particularly at home, and whilst the class of the likes of Steven Gerrard should see them to victory, I would expect a relatively low-scoring affair.

With this in mind, a 2-1 home win looks a good scoreline bet at 9/1, whilst it may be worth investing in the 1/1 for there to be 2-3 goals scored in the match, and the 11/4 odds for a Liverpool win with two or fewer strikes occurring are very tempting.

Also, as only a narrow home win looks likely, it could pay dividends to back the away side in the handicap markets.

Brighton are a very attractive 4/5 to win the game when attributed a two goal head start, and a big 12/5 to triumph with a one goal march on their opponents.

Andy Carroll will likely be given the opportunity to extend a series of more impressive showings of late, and he is 3/1 to build his confidence with the first goal here.

A better option may be set-piece specialist Charlie Adam however, who is 8/1 to add to his two goals this term with the first or last in this match.



John Klee