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Marseille v Bayern Munich: German experience to tell in France

| 28.03.2012

Marseille’s progression to the Champions League quarter-final has surprised many, and it will be another surprise if they manage to justify their 7/2 price to beat Bayern Munich on Wednesday night.

In stark contrast to their visitors, 10/11 to triumph in the first leg, it is the first time the French outfit have reached this stage of the tournament since they became eventual winners back in 1993.

Bayern have progressed to the quarter-finals on four occasions in the past six years, including a run to the final in 2010, and they have an added incentive to get to that stage again this year, as the final is to be staged at their home ground, the Allianz Arena.

It is 11/5 about the draw but with either side playing out just one stalemate each in eight European games so far, it could be worth avoiding that price.

Even though they conquered FC Basel via a massive 7-0 scoreline in their round of 16 second leg, Bayern’s matches have more regularly featured two goals or less, with this ratio of goals evident in five of eight Champions League games so far, so it may be wise to invest in the big 3/1 odds for an away win with two or less goals being scored.

Another regular feature of the German side’s European outings this term has been for them to get in front early on before accomplishing victory, and having won five out of eight games in this fashion, they could be a good bet to do so again at 11/5.

Alternatively, it is a lengthy 10/3 for the Bavarian outfit to win both halves, as they did so in such emphatic fashion in their last Champions League match.

Mario Gomez scored four in that tie to take his tally to a tremendous 12 goals in seven games, and he looks an obvious choice for first scorer at 3/1.



John Klee