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Real Madrid v Valencia: hosts to move closer to La Liga crown

| 07.04.2012

Only eight La Liga games remain for Real Madrid, and they can take a step closer to breaking Barcelona’s domestic dominance by beating Valencia at 2/9 on Sunday.

Valencia have performed admirably on their travels this season, with only their hosts and Barcelona having better records on the road, and they may tempt the odd punter at 19/2 to win here.

5/1 is the price attributed to the draw, but as Real have played out just three stalemates this season, it might be wise to avoid backing this outcome.

Jose Mourinho’s men have racked up an incredible 100 goals in just 30 La Liga matches, and with 60 of those strikes occurring in just 15 home games, Real can keep up their average tally by notching four on Sunday at an appealing 6/4.

A home win in a match featuring three or more goals also looks a likely outcome, and that scenario can be backed at 1/2.

The home side do tend to concede at Santiago Bernabeu however, and Valencia look good to breach their backline in their quest for Champions League qualification, making the 4/6 odds for both teams to score look good.

At least five goals have been shared between the teams in three of their past five meetings, and that could be the case again this weekend, with a 4-1 home win looking an appealing prospect at 14/1.

The immensely positive goal difference that Real have established also makes the 5/4 for the home side to win giving up a two goal handicap a tempting price, and players such as Cristiano Ronaldo are likely to put paid to one of La Liga’s better defences.

It is also worth noting that Real have led in more than half of their home matches by the break this term, and have not gone into half-time behind, so it could pay dividends to get behind them to overcome a one goal handicap to lead at half-time at 15/8 on Sunday.



John Klee