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Leicester v Millwall: Foxes can end barren run in Lions visit

| 28.03.2013

On the back of five successive games without victory, punters could be forgiven for doubting 8/11 Leicester’s chances at home to an improving Millwall side in this televised bout.

But there are reasons to confide in the hosts, not least of which is the fact that only two Championship sides have accumulated more points on their own patch this season.

And given that their visitors have been defeated in seven of their past nine league outings, it is difficult to side with the Lions at 4/1 here.

For increased value therefore, the hosts, who have scored more home goals than all but one second-tier outfit this term, are appealing prospects to emerge triumphant from a high-scoring game.

It is 17/10 that the Foxes prevail in a match featuring at least 2.5 goals, and such a bet would have paid dividends in half of all their home successes this term.

Given that Nigel Pearson’s men represent the division’s sturdiest defence too, it seems plausible to suggest that they could record yet another clean sheet in this match.

They have racked up a Championship-best 14 shutouts so far this season, and are 13/10 to build on that with another here, whilst the hosts can also be backed at 37/20 to win without conceding.

Also, it may be of interest to punters that in 10 of Leicester’s 17 total league victories this season, Pearson’s charges would have overcome a theoretical one-goal disadvantage en route to success.

Therefore, backing the home side to succeed despite a one-goal handicap may prove a wise move at 19/10.

This notion is strengthened by the Foxes’ possession of an abundance of attacking options, many of whom will make for popular first scorer selections in the game.

Chris Wood is 7/2 favourite to open the scoring, after racing to nine goals since his January arrival from West Brom.

But top-scoring forward David Nugent looks a better value option, as a 5/1 shot to add to his 14 seasonal strikes by breaking the deadlock.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



John Klee