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Predicting who will reach the judges’ house stage on X Factor

| 27.09.2013

With the auditions over, it is now time for the bootcamp stage of the X Factor, where the contestants are battling to become one of the final 24 to progress through to judges’ houses .

Even though only relatively small amounts have been shown of the acts so far, at least half of the final 12 can be confidently predicted, based on the amount of airtime they have received, comments previously made by the judges and the general quality of the auditions.

Below is the artists that we anticipate to make the final 12 and their prices to win the X Factor.


This is arguably the toughest category to single out a final six, with at least 10 candidates harbouring reasonable claims.

Nicholas McDonald, Luke Friend and Sam Callaghan appear to be the big three certainties and it would be no surprise if these were the acts that Louis Walsh took through to the live shows.

Paul Akister and Giles Potter are two others that can get though, with the final spot between Tom Mann, Alejandro Fernandez, Barclay Beales and Ryan Mathie.

Nicholas McDonald (6/1)
Sam Callaghan (10/1)
Paul Akister (14/1)
Luke Friend (16/1)
Giles Potter (50/1)
Ryan Mathie (66/1)


This category looks to be between four acts to make the live shows, with anyone else in reality only making up the numbers.

Abi Alton, Tamera Foster, Melanie McCabe and Hannah Barrett are nailed on to make it to judges houses, with the final two spots not so clear cut.

Jade Richards can be expected to repeat her 2011 progression to judges’ houses, with Lydia Lucy and Rielle Carrington capable of contending for the final spot.

Tamera Foster (5/1)
Abi Alton (6/1)
Melanie McCabe (7/1)
Hannah Barrett (12/1)
Jade Richards (33/1)
Lydia Lucy (66/1)


Given that there wasn’t an abundance of groups shown in the auditions stages, it either means that they will virtually all progress or, two or three new groups will be manufactured from the eliminated acts at boot camp.

Kingsland, Brick City and Rough Copy are the banker trio here, with Xyra also looking good to make the final 24. The final two spots can go to new groups that haven’t been seen yet.

Brick City (14/1)
Kingsland (16/1)
Rough Copy (25/1)
Xyra (50/1)


Sam Bailey should waltz into judges’ houses, while Joseph Whelan and Zoe Devlin are slightly different from just powerful singers and so they should progress too.

Andrea McGee and Lorna Simpson have not been seen much yet, but have potential and the final spot may go to a joke act, Souli Roots?

Sam Bailey (8/1)
Joseph Whelan (10/1)
Lorna Simpson (20/1)
Zoe Devlin (20/1)
Andrea McGee (25/1)
Souli Roots (66/1)

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Craig Kemp

Craig has written for Ladbrokes since the 2010 World Cup, having previously gained a Media & Sports Journalism degree and contributed to publications including the Racing Post. His main areas of interest are horse racing and UFC, but he is also an avid X Factor gambler and likes nothing more than indulging in a spot of Hip Hop Karaoke.