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Swansea’s struggles at home point to Arsenal win

| 26.09.2013

Arsenal’s 2-0 win at Swansea last season triggered a run of seven games in which the Swans have failed to win in front of their own fans in the Premier League.

That match was also the second of Arsenal’s incredible run of form away from home, with the Gunners winning all of their last ten matches on the road.

The league leaders are 11/10 to win at the Liberty.

In fairness to Swansea, they have had as tricky a run of games at home as they could reasonably expect, with Arsenal, Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester City, Manchester United and Liverpool all visiting in their last seven league games.

There is also the caveat of their hearts perhaps not really being in it at the end of last season, having won the Capital One Cup and with little to play for in the league.

But there are no such caveats to Arsenal’s form, which has seen them beat Bayern Munich and Marseille amongst others, as well as the slew of clutch games they won on the road to secure fourth place last season.

Arsene Wenger’s side have also kept six clean sheets in those ten games, conceding just four in total. The Gunners are 19/10 to avoid conceding at Swansea, who have failed to score in four of their past seven home matches.

The second half is likely to be where the action is, as in the four meetings between the sides last season every goal came after half-time, with seven of the nine scored coming after the 80th minute.

It is 11/10 that the second half will have more goals and 10/11 that there will be at least one scored after the 75th minute.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Alex Fortune