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Trend says there’s more value in Fulham or Norwich to go down

| 07.10.2013

The great news for fans of Hull and Cardiff is that a five-year trend suggests that only one of the trio of promoted clubs will be reaching for the parachute come May, and it’s difficult to look beyond Crystal Palace to be jumping right now.

Not since Derby’s record breaking-ly bad season of 2007/08, in which the Rams were joined by Birmingham, have two of the three fresh faces in the Premier League tasted immediate relegation.

This will be music to the ears of Tigers and Bluebirds fans, whose respective sides have made admirable starts to their top-tier campaigns, while in Hull’s case the 11 points they have garnered from seven games, already matches Derby’s entire tally from that doomed campaign.

Both newbies represent 2/1 shots for the drop at present, but the early signs are very positive that Steve Bruce and Malky Mackay’s squads will have enough to survive.

Things are looking decidedly gloomier for Palace however, entombed on three points and heavy favourites to go down at 1/7, despite 4/6 shots Sunderland still giving them a bunk-up at the bottom on just one point.

A huge improvement in Sunderland’s performances, if not results, under temporary boss Kevin Ball has clearly given reason for optimism on Wearside that they can yet dig themselves out of the mire.

For the Eagles though, a return of six defeats in seven and one goal in their last four, points towards the use of a digger rather than a shovel to get them out of this one.

Therefore, the value in backing Palace’s most likely relegation accomplices at his stage, has to be in those teams such as Norwich and Fulham, who both flirted with the drop for long periods last season.

Both managers are still under considerable pressure and at 3/1 and 7/2, now may be the best time to get behind their Premier League demise.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Christian Crowther

Give Christian a sport with anything remotely spherical in it and he’ll happily while away the hours watching it on the box. However, he’d much prefer writing about, playing or betting on golf, football, cricket, tennis, snooker.... you get the picture.