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Everton v Sunderland: Everton to win by a considerable margin

| 24.12.2013

Wondering how you solve a value-less betting problem like Everton’s Boxing Day clash with Sunderland? Well fear not because we have the guide right here.

Everton are the second best team in the Premier League right now, according to the form of the last six games. By that same token, Sunderland are the fourth worst. The Toffees are undefeated in their last 17 outings at Goodison Park, while the Black Cats don’t even have a goal to speak of in the last six trips away from the Stadium of Light.

Is it any wonder, then, that Roberto Martinez’s side are rated as the 2/5 certainties for victory in this clash, with Gus Poyet’s strugglers available at 13/2 and a draw at 7/2?

There’s little else we can do in that market other than back Everton for a win, but that won’t get us rich.

So instead we need some value, and the first port of call is often the win to nil market but at 5/4 it’s not really the kind of price we’re after this festive season, after all we have the outlay of Christmas presents to recoup.

Next, we might think a half-time/full-time punt would provide some favourable odds, but at 5/6 on the hosts to lead at both the interval and final whistle, we’re left disappointed.

Finally, after taking a peek in to the prices available on the winning margin market, we’re satisfied and in particular when looking at the odds on Everton to win by three goals or by four or more.

It’s 5/1 that Romelu Lukaku and co give Sunderland a whipping with a three goal buffer, while it’s 6/1 that they go one goal or more beyond that mark.

Considering Everton have achieved that feat twice in their last six home games with Sunderland, either punt is advised, with the fact that feat twice in league outings recently adding weight to the theory.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Matt Wiggins

No idyllic sound comes close to leather on willow for Matt, whose previous experience includes stints with Spin Magazine and Surrey County Cricket Club. It's not just cricket that interests him though, with football, golf, tennis and any American sport not played on ice all high on his list of favourites.