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Liverpool v Cardiff: Hosts to haul in two goal deficit

| 18.12.2013

Cardiff’s current disposition isn’t necessarily a sunny one. Some middling form has been brushed under a carpet of managerial mistreatment over the past few days and as a result preparation for the trip to Anfield will not have been at its meticulous peak.

As can be expected from a newly promoted club, the Bluebirds have found touring the country’s top-flight grounds hard going since joining in the fun.

In their eight games away from south Wales so far Malky Mackay’s side have won just once and collected six points in total, making them understandable 12/1 outsiders to win on Merseyside.

In tandem with that slim collection, goals have been lacking too and they haven’t found the back of the net in any of their last four dalliances.

At the other end of the pitch the opposition have found it rather easy to breach the Cardiff defence, with only two clean sheets to their name to date. The fact that those bagels came against notoriously goal-shy Stoke and Norwich does little to boost the optimism against a well-versed bottom-half bully.

The scores in Liverpool’s home games against teams that occupy the second section of the league read 5-1, 4-1 (twice), 3-1 and 4-0, with only Stoke managing to hold Brendan Rodgers’ men to a goal tally fewer than two.

That kind of dominance means Ladbrokes punters can confidently give Cardiff a two-goal head start in the handicap Liverpool (-2) market and still reap a reward from taking the host’s 7/5 odds.

Should that prove too outlandish a strategy though, keenly trained eyes would have noticed another trend in the scores listed above, with Liverpool tending to allow their victims to score.

A punt on the 13/10 about both teams scoring would therefore be a sensible route to take.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Matt Wiggins

No idyllic sound comes close to leather on willow for Matt, whose previous experience includes stints with Spin Magazine and Surrey County Cricket Club. It's not just cricket that interests him though, with football, golf, tennis and any American sport not played on ice all high on his list of favourites.