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Tottenham to prevail over Newcastle but not before conceding

| 11.02.2014

Tottenham and Newcastle have the same objective in life: avoid the Europa League. However, they are taking very different approaches to the task, with Spurs looking to qualify for the competition’s far superior big brother, while Newcastle slid down the table to escape its clutches.

Alan Pardew’s men are in a spot of bother form wise, having won just once in the last seven Premier League games and settling in ninth place having occupied sixth before the skid started.

Spurs, on the other hand, are maintaining their pursuit of fourth-placed Liverpool without playing particularly fluently. Their fortunate win over Everton last time out maintaining a recent record of just one loss in the last nine games and a gap of three points to the Reds.

So, a Spurs win looks on the cards when the pair meet at St James’ Park, right? Well, yes, but at 5/4 in the match betting market there are stats that can be used to find a better price on a slightly different variation of that outcome.

Namely the 10/3 on Tim Sherwood’s men winning the game with both teams scoring in it.

Why? Well for starters there’s the overall form of both teams previously mentioned, but moreover the narrower sample of Spurs’ away record.

Before the 1-1 draw with Hull, last time they travelled away from north London, the Lilywhites had won five straight forays to opponents’ grounds.

There’s another trend in Spurs’ recent away games that lends itself to our handpicked bet. Both teams have found the net in all of those six previous trips, as well as in six of the last nine at any ground.

On the other side of the coin, Newcastle have lost three on the bounce in front of their loyal supporters. The fact they haven’t scored in five of their last six should be thrown out, as Sherwood’s attacking approach will present Pardew’s men with plenty of chances to change those fortunes, making our bet the only way to go at St James’.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Matt Wiggins

No idyllic sound comes close to leather on willow for Matt, whose previous experience includes stints with Spin Magazine and Surrey County Cricket Club. It's not just cricket that interests him though, with football, golf, tennis and any American sport not played on ice all high on his list of favourites.