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Norwich and Hughton to secure safety with win over West Brom

| 04.04.2014

At 16/5 for the drop, Norwich aren’t one of the most fancied sides to suffer the heartbreak of relegation this season, yet the scorn never seems too far away from Chris Hughton’s Canaries tenure.

Ahead of their pivotal clash with fellow hopeful trapdoor-beaters West Brom, the former Newcastle boss is the second favourite to be the next boss to leave at 8/1, despite sitting six points clear of the dreaded dotted line.

Once the visit of Pepe Mel’s in-fighting Baggies is put to bed, though, there will surely be no doubt over Hughton’s and his side’s security.

The Canaries are a 6/5 chance to make it a six-point gap between their midlands visitors and themselves with a win and that’s a price that should certainly be taken based on their record at home this term.

If results at their own grounds was all that mattered in the Premier League, the Carrow Road club would sit in the serene safety of 10th. They are unbeaten in six matches in front of their own fans and have scored 15 of their 26 goals there this season.

Both of those goal hauls are among the worst in the division though, making it a far better strategy to take the 19/5 on the home side winning a game of under 2.5 goals.

All of the last seven top-flight games in Norfolk have seen the total goals tally slip under the 2.5 mark, with Norwich winning three. In total, no Premier League side has seen fewer home games soar over that bar.

West Brom, let it be said, are a better side on the road. But after the draw against Cardiff that must have felt like defeat ended with Saido Berahino and James Morrison coming to blows, it seems unlikely that the 16/5-shots for relegation will have rallied in time to banish those memories just yet.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Matt Wiggins

No idyllic sound comes close to leather on willow for Matt, whose previous experience includes stints with Spin Magazine and Surrey County Cricket Club. It's not just cricket that interests him though, with football, golf, tennis and any American sport not played on ice all high on his list of favourites.