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ATP Tour Finals: Federer to edge Stan in Swiss showdown at O2

| 15.11.2014

Roger Federer and compatriot Stanislas Wawrinka will put their Davis Cup camaraderie to one side at London’s O2 Arena as the Swiss stars do battle for a place in the ATP Tour Finals showpiece.

In what promises to be a thrilling semi-final for the assembled masses under the capital’s biggest canopy, we’ve studied all the relevant numbers to come up with three top tips for the contest.

Roger Federer to win 2-1 @ 10/3

While number two seed Federer is yet to drop a set in his first three matches in London, he was taken to a tiebreak by David Ferrer in the round-robin stages and Wawrinka should bring a considerable challenge to his countryman with so much at stake.

Although Federer holds a hefty head-to-head advantage over the Australian Open champion (16-2) Wawrinka has taken at least a set off him over their past four meetings, which included a rare 2-1 victory to take the title in Monte Carlo earlier this year.

If the pendulum is to swing one way over a tight contest indoors though, it has to be Federer’s, who owns a 10/1 record indoors this season coming into the semi final.

Over 23.5 total games @ 7/4

This bet would have landed in each one of their last three matches contested over the regulation ATP Tour distance.

Tiebreak to be played in the match: Yes @ 11/8

This may be the best bet of the lot judging by recent meetings. A tiebreak has been required in every one of their last six tussles across all surfaces.

A third of those tiebreaks have arrived in the opening set, lending credence to tasty odds of 7/2 that the first set goes the maximum distance.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Christian Crowther

Give Christian a sport with anything remotely spherical in it and he’ll happily while away the hours watching it on the box. However, he’d much prefer writing about, playing or betting on golf, football, cricket, tennis, snooker.... you get the picture.