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Southampton v Man City: Aguero to ensure Saints are leapfrogged

| 29.11.2014

Southampton’s hugely unexpected assault on the top four looks to have genuine sustainability, though the visit of champions Manchester City kicks off a run of fixtures which could restore some natural order in the Premier League.

Situated in second place Ronald Koeman’s Saints have earned the right to be labelled the narrowest of 21/10 outsiders to defeat Manuel Pellegrini’s 13/10 shots at St Mary’s, next to a draw at 5/2.

However, as you’ll see from our highlighted bets on the televised clash, it’s not a price we’ll be backing:

Manchester City to beat Southampton @ 13/10

As impressive as Southampton’s remoulded team have been, there is no question the cream always rises to the top and in this case that means third-place City will be ahead come the final shakedown.

The Citizens should actually have their noses in front by teatime Sunday after this 13:30 kick-off, where a fourth away win of the season beckons, thanks largely to the form of one man.

Saints have the best defence in the league statistically, but a titanium cage would not be able to contain Sergio Aguero at present, following his 12th, 13th and 14th strikes in all competitions against Bayern Munich to ensure successive wins.

The south coast side were unconvincing at Aston Villa on Monday and although they have a superb home record thus far, City looked to have turned a corner and their extra quality can inflict a first St Mary’s defeat on the hosts.

Sergio Aguero to score and Man City to win @ 21/10

This bet would have landed on seven separate occasions this season and given the Argentine’s deep purple patch – of six in his last five appearances – it’s a horse worthy of plenty more flogging.

Away team goals 2/3 @ 13/1

City’s attack has always been their best means of grabbing Premier League points over tight defensive displays, even on the road.

Only Chelsea have plundered more than the 13 City have on the road this season, levelling out at just north of two per away match.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Christian Crowther

Give Christian a sport with anything remotely spherical in it and he’ll happily while away the hours watching it on the box. However, he’d much prefer writing about, playing or betting on golf, football, cricket, tennis, snooker.... you get the picture.