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The stats that suggest Swansea are set to dive down the table

| 05.11.2014

Aside from Chelsea’s robotic dominance of all around them, the Premier League has been more unpredictable than ever so far this season.

Southampton are second, West Ham fifth and Swansea sixth, with many of last season’s top seven throwing away points hand over fist.

However, nosebleeds are generally tricky to avoid for those sides that fly high unexpectedly in the early rounds of the season, and Swansea in particular could be riding for a fall.

Certainly the stats underlying the Swans’ results so far suggest that more than a modicum of luck has been involved in accumulating their points haul of 15.

Only one side – Aston Villa – averages fewer shots per game than Swansea’s 9.3, and Garry Monk’s side are also at the wrong end of the table when it comes to shots conceded.

The Swans have allowed 15 shots on their goal per game so far, with only Hull, Leicester and Burnley conceding more efforts.

Monk’s side have also spent a league-high 33 per cent of their matches in their own half, and a league-low 18 per cent in their opposition’s territory.

All in all, the stats paint a picture of a side that is doing a great job of scoring the few chances they are creating, and riding their luck at the back.

It’s clearly no bad thing to be so sharp in front of goal, but it’s more than likely to be an unsustainable situation for the Swans.

For example, Aston Villa had similar stats when winning three and drawing one of their first four games. Eventually their luck ran out and the Villans have now lost six on the bounce.

Swansea’s next game is at home to Arsenal, and it’s worth backing the hosts’ slide down the table to start with a Gunners win, which is priced at 1/1.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Alex Fortune