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Exchange Corner: How the market views Euro 2016 qualifiers

| 27.03.2015

It’s a big night in Euro 2016 qualifying as we see teams jockeying for position in the business end of the campaign. Few teams will garner more attention than England that’s where we simply have to start.

The market absolutely loves England. I mean it adores this team.

The odds are so heavily in Roy Hodgson’s charges favour that you would think this had been a campaign covered in unquestioned glory and there were no doubts whatsoever about this team.

The odds on this game suggest England will romp home, not just in this match but all the way to the title in the summer of 2016. That is, to put it mildly, excessive.

England may be perfect through the first four games but it’s not like Lithuania are Liechtenstein. The Baltic nation may be better known for basketball but it’s proven capable in defence through the first four games.

We don’t expect any big upset here but this is the type of team that can lose with dignity in Wembley.

Looking at the market, that means we have to look at the total goals for value. Under 2.5 looks by far the best shout here at 2.24.

Also are Lithuania set for a Kane-ing at Wembley? The young English striker has banged in 29 goals this season and everything seems set for him to score this weekend.

Therefore, back the man of the moment to get his first goal for England at 2.18.

Victory in Tel Aviv would catapult Wales (3.8) to the top of Group B as they strive to qualify for their first major tournament. Interestingly their last four fixtures see an alternating run of 2-1 victories and 0-0 draws.


So, with a goalless draw in Belgium their last showing, backing a 2-1 victory at 15.0 looks very tempting for us especially as we expect to see the best out of Gareth Bale.

The Welsh superstar will undoubtedly look to release some of the frustration he has experienced at Real Madrid recently against Israel (2.18)

Recommended Trade:

Lay a Wales 2-1 victory at 18.5 against those that will surely Back the victory due to Wales’ recent run of alternating results


Finally we turn to a surprisingly big game in Group D where the Republic of Ireland (2.62) have a real chance of progressing from their group. They would bolster their Euro 2016 qualification prospect further with a win over the undefeated Poland side.

And considering they are in the same group as second placed Germany, Martin O’Neill knows how crucial these three points can be. However, Poland (3.05) have scored at least two goals in each of their six games, so the hosts’ back-line will be thoroughly tested.

Recommended Trade:

With Poland’s recent goal average in qualification we see value in Backing over 2.5 goals at 2.52. as we expect Ireland to also get goals playing in front of their home support

Exchange with Multiples:

Our last recommended trade of an Arsenal, Tottenham and Southampton Treble at 3.87 came through this past week, so we hope you followed us on that. If not, don’t despair because by looking at the games coming up we think that an England, Wales and Republic of Ireland treble at 10.72 this weekend is a fantastic return.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.


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