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Six Nations: Swerve England putting a pile of points on France

| 21.03.2015

England go into their final match of the Six Nations at home to France four points clear of holders Ireland at the top of the table, but still look a touch on the short side at 4/6 to take their first title under coach Stuart Lancaster.

They may hold the advantage of going last, so will know exactly how many points they’ll need to beat Les Bleus by in order to scoop the northern hemisphere crown for the first time since 2011.

However, with Joe Schmidt’s charges set to take on a battered and bruised Scotland outfit without a win in 2015, the margin may be insurmountable.

Ireland will be gunning for a 20-plus points victory in Edinburgh, which Ladbrokes clearly see as entirely possible given the bookies have priced up a 21-30 points away win at 9/2, so Lancaster’s crowd may require a monumental effort of their own in south-west London.

A battering of Philippe Saint-Andre’s Gallic shruggers clearly isn’t beyond Lancaster’s bruisers, with the average England v France scoreline during the Six Nations era at Twickenham coming in at 27-15.

They’ve won their past four at home to Les Bleus too, but only one of those French beatings over the past decade have been by more than 10 points.

Saint-Andre’s cockerel-crested crowd won’t want the dubious honour of aiding an English championship win on their CVs, and clearly aren’t completely useless having restricted both Ireland and Wales to just seven-point victories this term.

Taking all this into account, the standout bet at Twickenham has to be England to win by 1-10 points at 15/8.

See our graphic below for some of the possible permutations ahead of the final weekend.

6nations-permutations (2)

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.

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Alex Fortune