Why you must bet against returning Arc star Treve at Saint Cloud
Published:
Two-time Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe winner Treve is an industry-best 4/7 with Ladbrokes to take the Group 2 Prix Corrida on seasonal reappearance, but it should be a case of once bitten, twice shy for punters at Saint Cloud.
Last April, the supermare lined up in the Group 1 Prix Ganay at Longchamp in her first start since winning the 2013 Arc, having gone unbeaten thus far over five career runs.
Treve was sent off 3/10 favourite in testing conditions and went down by a short neck to 7/2 shot Cirrus Des Aigles, which was followed by two more odds-on failures at Ascot and Longchamp again before she returned to Paris in triumphant style last October when retaining the Arc at 11/1.
Simply put, the famous five-year-old shouldn’t be backed at odds-on at this stage of the campaign.
Trainer Criquette Head-Maarek has said this is an easier assignment than the Ganay and has thrown in pacemaker Silvaplana, but she did the same thing last year without success, so there really is little to recommend a bet on the short-priced favourite.
Of the alternatives, two challengers practically bounce off the card.
Freddie Head (Criquette’s brother) runs 4/1 shot We Are under Olivier Peslier, and while the Dansili filly disappointed last time out when fourth in this year’s Prix Ganay, she has finished first past the post in four of her other five races, seeing off the likes of Dermot Weld’s 2014 Oaks runner-up Tarfasha along the way.
We Are looks the main danger to Treve, but Andre Fabre’s All At Sea should come into each-way consideration at 14/1 under Mickael Barzalona.
The four-year-old has won three times in seven career starts, and is yet to finish more than 4l off the winner in any race.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.
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