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Organised Swansea in for low-scoring encounter with Southampton

| 11.02.2016

Swansea are four games unbeaten in the Premier League, and with the visit of Southampton this weekend there’s a good chance that the Welsh club can extend that run.

Francesco Guidolin has yet to taste defeat as Swans boss, claiming 1-1 draws with West Brom and Crystal Palace in addition to a 2-1 win over Everton.

Swansea could conceivably have won all three, but nevertheless it’s points on the board as they bid to ensure their place in next season’s Premier League.

After losing six games in an eight-match spell across November and December, Southampton have been rejuvenated in 2016, winning four of their last five games, drawing the other.

The Saints haven’t conceded a single goal in that stint, but likewise have scored just twice in the last three fixtures.

With Swansea conceding only three times in their last quartet of games, all stats point to a low-scoring encounter at the Liberty Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

Under 2.5 can be backed at 8/15, while under 1.5 is a 13/8 shot.

Swansea have kept clean sheets in three of their last five league encounters at home, while Ronald Koeman’s side have failed to score in the same number of their most recent quintet on the road.

Since the pair became Premier League rivals in 2012, six of the seven meetings have seen under two and a half goals, with four witnessing just a solitary strike.

September’s 3-1 victory for Southampton at St Mary’s was the first and so far only time the teams have shared three goals or more in a Premier League encounter, and given recent form, it looks like remaining so.

Swansea are 21/10 for the win, with the visitors 13/10 favourites and the draw 21/10.

Guidolin’s side have a four-point gap to the drop zone, and though they face trips to Tottenham and Arsenal in the next two weeks, that pair of fixtures is followed by games against Norwich, Bournemouth and Aston Villa.

It’s those fixtures where Swansea’s survival will likely be decided, and a low-scoring draw this weekend would be just fine against seventh-placed Saints.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



Richard Marsh

Richard loves his sport, especially if it involves the sound of tyres screaming around a race track. He's not fussy though and his '90s Premier League nostalgia and knowledge of team nicknames is tough to match.