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Sturgeon and the SNP will win, but can they get the majority?

| 29.04.2016

Nicola Sturgeon and the Scottish National Party are fully on course to land Scotland’s Parliamentary Elections next week, but there is a growing doubt over whether the party can land a majority.

The SNP are a near certainty at 1/200 to win the most seats and see Sturgeon back as First Minister, but the intrigue is all about the majority, or lack of it.

There has been a flurry of bets for the SNP to fall short next week, and No Overall Majority is in from 10/1 into 8/1.

With the winner all but decided, plenty more interest is being had on who will finish second to the SNP in seat numbers.

The Conservatives have seen a significant rise in support, and their odds to gain the most seats behind the SNP have fallen from 2/1 to 11/10.

Labour now have some major competition to become the official opposition, but remain favourites at 8/11.

Recent polls have made it very close and the Tories have a very real chance of winning constituency seats next week, although Labour haven’t finished third in a national poll since the 1910 December election.

The Liberal Democrats are expected to struggle, but are still odds-on to maintain their hold on Orkney and Shetland.

We make it Evens that the party win exactly two constituency seats, but money has been coming in for what would be shock wins in both Edinburgh Western and North East Fife.

A host of contests are really up for grabs, including Dumfriesshire, Eastwood and Galloway and Dumfries, with each set to be a close fight between the SNP and Conservatives.

But if it’s an outsider you want to get on, then the Greens are just 10/1 to prevail in what could be a four-way scrap to claim Edinburgh Central.

You can view all our latest politics markets and odds right here.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.



Richard Marsh

Richard loves his sport, especially if it involves the sound of tyres screaming around a race track. He's not fussy though and his '90s Premier League nostalgia and knowledge of team nicknames is tough to match.