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Hillary Clinton 6/4 to claim narrow 0-5 per cent Election victory

| 02.11.2016

The race to become the 45th President of the United States is nearing its finale, and with the polls suggesting an increasingly close outcome between leading candidates Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, the best way to go from a betting perspective looks to be in poll margins.

Democrats nominee Clinton is the outright favourite at 2/5, but the former Secretary of State was as secure as 1/6 just over a week ago.

And Republican candidate Trump has seen his odds come in from 11/4 to 2/1 in the same time-frame.

If neither of those take your fancy, then it may be worth looking into the Winning Vote Share Margin for some potentially greater rewards.

Given recent polls, it seems the 6/4 on Clinton to win by a 0-5 per cent margin will be a popular market, while’s Trump’s most likely success is a similarly narrow one at 10/3.

But with a CNN Poll of Polls suggesting Clinton holds an advantage closer to the five per cent mark, it may well be worth backing the Democrat at 9/2 to win by 5-10 per cent.

With Trump 7/1 to score a victory by that amount, it seems unlikely that the New Yorker can achieve anything other than a very narrow success.

However, in an Election year which has seen more twists, turns, revelations and scandals than ever before, the bookies just can’t be certain.

They’re offering 5/1 on each of Clinton and Trump to win Tuesday’s vote by over 10 per cent.

Interestingly, if there is to be a winner by over 15 per cent, then the bookies say it’s Trump who is more likely to do so.

The former Apprentice host is 20/1 to win by 15-20 per cent, compared to Hillary’s 25/1, while Trump is the same price for a vote share margin of 20 per cent or more, where Clinton’s odds drift again to 33s.

Plenty could still change between now and Tuesday, but right now it seems Clinton is edging to a narrow victory. But which side of five per cent will it be?

Click here for all the latest US Presidential Election markets and odds.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing



Richard Marsh

Richard loves his sport, especially if it involves the sound of tyres screaming around a race track. He's not fussy though and his '90s Premier League nostalgia and knowledge of team nicknames is tough to match.