England v Argentina: History says Pumas value on the handicap
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England open up their November International series with a test against Argentina at Twickenham.
Eddie Jones’ men are 1/20 heavy favourites, with the Pumas 9/1 outsiders, and the draw at 40/1.
The moral of the story here for Jones here will be: Don’t fix what’s not broken.
The back-to-back Six Nations champions have been in tremendous form since the Australian took the helm, winning 19 of his 20 tests.
The sole blot on his copybook was the defeat to Ireland that denied his side a Grand Slam.
Jones will be looking to get his squad primed for a Six Nations defence, but the long-term aim will be the 2019 World Cup.
A number of the new faces drafted in have now been cut barring Bath wing Semesa Rokoduguni.
The ex-Stormers head coach has opted for a largely similar feel to his 26-man squad.
Mike Brown, Owen Farrell, Jonathan Joseph, Maro Itoje, Dylan Hartley, and Mako Vunipola are all there.
Argentina arrive in London in terrible form. Since their win over South Africa in the Rugby Championship in 2016, the Pumas have won just two tests.
That run stretches back over 17 tests. And the two wins were over minnows, Japan and Georgia.
Further good news for Daniel Hourcade’s side is that they haven’t won a test against England since 2009. The Pumas have lost the last eight straight.
However, the Handicap Line is set here at +/-19 and that may present a bit of value.
Of the eight defeats mentioned above, England only beat that 19-point handicap twice – both times in Argentina.
In fact, England have never beaten Argentina at English rugby headquarters by more than 19 points in the professional era.
With it being the opening test of the Autumn internationals, there’s a slight unpredictability to how this game will go.
Therefore, the 10/11 on Argentina on the +19 Handicap looks a great bet.
All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing.
